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Sichuan Jiuniu vs Dalian Zhixing: Hosts Seek Home Advantage Amidst Defensive Woes
This Super League clash sees Sichuan Jiuniu hosting Dalian Zhixing. While the hosts have shown promise at home, their overall defensive record is concerning. Dalian Zhixing, despite a mixed season, have also struggled to keep clean sheets on their travels, setting the stage for a potentially open encounter.
This fixture pits a home side that often relies on attacking impetus against an away team that, while capable of scoring, has significant defensive frailties on the road. Sichuan Jiuniu will likely aim to leverage their stronger home performance, pushing for possession and utilising wider areas given their higher corner count at home. Dalian Zhixing, despite their recent losing streak, have shown they can still create chances. Their strategy might involve quick transitions, aiming to exploit any defensive gaps left by a potentially aggressive home side. However, their own susceptibility to conceding could lead to a game where both teams find it difficult to maintain defensive solidity, perhaps encouraging a compact mid-block approach from the away side if they're under pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Sichuan Jiuniu boasts a 50% win rate at home, averaging 1.8 goals, a stark contrast to their overall 25% win rate.
- • Dalian Zhixing have lost two-thirds of their away matches, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game.
- • Both teams have conceded an average of over 1.8 goals per game across the season, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
AI Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu's home record, particularly their improved scoring and shot volume, gives them an edge over a Dalian Zhixing side struggling significantly on the road. While Dalian have offensive capability, their recent defensive collapse and away concessions make them vulnerable. Both teams' statistical profiles suggest a propensity for conceding goals, pointing towards an open game with both sides finding the net.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U70%BTTS67%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek62%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x238%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U53%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U53%BTTS67%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama82% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U43%BTTS50%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U53%BTTS50%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U50%BTTS47%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai63% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U63%BTTS63%
H2H
Team recent
Sichuan Jiuniu Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Henan Jianye | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Shandong Luneng | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Hangzhou Greentown | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Beijing Guoan | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Yunnan Yukun | 3 - 4 | - | ||||
HOME | Wuhan Three Towns | 5 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Qingdao Youth Island | 0 - 1 | - |
Sichuan Jiuniu presents a curious case. At home, they've been a different proposition, securing 50% of their wins and averaging a respectable 1.8 goals per game. Their attacking output is significantly boosted by home comforts, evidenced by higher shot volumes and better passing accuracy in their own stadium. However, their overall season statistics paint a grim picture, with a 66.7% loss rate and a porous defence conceding nearly two goals on average. Recent form also shows a dip, with only one win in their last three and a concerning loss in their most recent outing where they conceded twice.
Dalian Zhixing Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Qingdao Youth Island | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Qingdao Jonoon | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Beijing Guoan | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Yunnan Yukun | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Henan Jianye | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Hangzhou Greentown | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shandong Luneng | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 0 | - |
Dalian Zhixing have achieved a 50% win rate overall this season, which is respectable, but their away form tells a different story. They've lost 66.7% of their away matches, conceding a hefty 2.7 goals per game. Despite generating a decent number of shots on goal even on the road, their defence has been their Achilles' heel. Their recent form has been particularly worrying, having lost all three of their last matches, conceding three goals in each. Even in their most recent game, a 2-3 home defeat, they showed attacking intent with 26 shots, but defence remained an issue.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.