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Qingdao Youth Island vs Henan Jianye: A Statistical Stalemate Looms in the Super League
In a Super League fixture that promises to be a tight affair, Qingdao Youth Island host Henan Jianye. While Qingdao have shown resilience at home, Henan arrive on a concerning run of form, making this a fascinating clash of contrasting recent trajectories.
This fixture appears set to be an attritional battle, potentially dictated by defensive solidity rather than attacking flair. Qingdao's home form suggests a team that might employ a compact defensive shape, looking to absorb pressure and strike quickly, especially given their lower home possession figures. Henan, on the other hand, will be desperate to arrest their losing streak and may try to establish a more patient build-up, but their recent struggles in the final third and on the road indicate they could find it difficult to break down a resurgent home defence. The battle for midfield control could be crucial, but neither side has shown overwhelming dominance in this area recently.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Qingdao Youth Island have won 50% of their home games this season, conceding only 0.5 goals per game at home.
- • Henan Jianye have lost their last three consecutive matches, scoring only once in that period.
- • The odds reflect a highly competitive fixture with no clear favourite.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a very evenly matched contest, which aligns with the statistical picture. Qingdao's improved home defence contrasts sharply with Henan's dire recent form, but Henan's overall away record isn't a complete write-off. Given Qingdao's low possession and Henan's scoring drought, a tight, low-scoring encounter with both teams finding the net once seems the most plausible outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon65% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U60%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Qingdao Youth Island Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Qingdao Jonoon | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Chengdu Better City | 1 - 5 | - | ||||
HOME | Sichuan Jiuniu | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Hangzhou Greentown | 0 - 2 | - |
Qingdao Youth Island present a curious case. Their overall season record is a mixed bag, marked by a low scoring rate and a defence that concedes too often. However, their home form tells a different story. Across their last two home fixtures, they've managed to score in every game and have only conceded one goal in total, indicating a significant improvement when playing in front of their own crowd. Despite this, their possession numbers at home are notably low, suggesting they often play on the counter or are content to cede control.
Henan Jianye Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Dalian Zhixing | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Shandong Luneng | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Qingdao Jonoon | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Yunnan Yukun | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 - 1 | - |
Henan Jianye's overall season performance has been middling, with a balanced scoring and conceding record. Their recent form, however, is a significant concern. They have lost their last three matches, failing to secure a single point, and their scoring has dried up to just 0.3 goals per game in that period. While their away form historically shows a slight defensive vulnerability, conceding more than they score on average, their most recent away game saw them hold possession for longer and achieve a higher pass completion rate, despite conceding twice.
Odds
Lineups
Qingdao Youth Island
(4-4-2)
Henan Jianye
(4-4-2)