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Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Super League Clash
Beijing Guoan host Dalian Zhixing in a Super League fixture where the home side's strong overall possession game faces a Dalian outfit that has been potent offensively but leaky defensively on the road. Recent form suggests a potential for goals.
Beijing Guoan have shown a tendency to dominate possession this season, averaging over 60% ball retention. However, this has translated into a rather disappointing home record, with no wins in their last three home outings and a high goals-conceded average of 2.3 per game. Despite their possession dominance, they've struggled to convert that into consistent victories at home, and their last home match saw them ship four goals. Their recent form shows a slight uptick in attacking output, scoring an average of two goals in their last three matches, but defensive frailties persist.
Dalian Zhixing arrive with a strong overall win percentage, driven by a potent attack that averages 1.7 goals per game. Their away form, however, presents a mixed picture; while they've secured victories, they also concede a significant 2.5 goals per away fixture. Their most recent outing was a draw where they scored three, indicating their attacking threat remains, but their defensive structure on the road continues to be a concern. Despite lower possession numbers, they've managed to secure positive results, suggesting efficiency in their play.
This match pits Beijing Guoan's patient build-up play and territorial advantage against Dalian Zhixing's more direct attacking approach. The home side will likely aim to control the rhythm of the game through sustained possession, probing for openings. Dalian, on the other hand, will probably look to exploit transitions and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Beijing, especially given the hosts' recent struggles at home. With both teams showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in Dalian's away games and Beijing's home fixtures, the battle could be decided by which side is more clinical and disciplined in key moments.
Although Beijing Guoan have a poor home record, their statistical dominance in possession and Dalian's significant defensive frailties away from home make the hosts slight favourites. The odds also lean towards a home win, and with both teams showing attacking prowess and a susceptibility to conceding, a high-scoring affair with goals at both ends is anticipated.
Key points
- Beijing Guoan averages 2.3 goals conceded per home game this season.
- Dalian Zhixing has a 50% loss rate in away matches, conceding 2.5 goals on average.
- The odds suggest a home win is the most likely outcome.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
AI Prediction
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U63%BTTS60%
deepseek-v3.2 (id)by deepseek68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U53%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U53%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U60%BTTS57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS63%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama75%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U70%BTTS67%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U37%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U60%BTTS57%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U70%BTTS67%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U40%BTTS40%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U43%BTTS43%
H2H
Team recent
Beijing Guoan Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Yunnan Yukun | 3 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Tianjin Teda | 2 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Sichuan Jiuniu | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Hangzhou Greentown | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Chengdu Better City | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Shanghai Shenhua | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shandong Luneng | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 - 0 | - |
Dalian Zhixing Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Yunnan Yukun | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shenyang Urban | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Henan Jianye | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Hangzhou Greentown | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shandong Luneng | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | SHANGHAI SIPG | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Shanghai Shenhua | 3 - 5 | - |
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
