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PAOK vs AEK Athens: Title Race Heats Up in Super League 1 Championship Group
This Super League 1 Championship Group clash sees title contenders PAOK host AEK Athens in a fixture that carries significant weight. Both sides boast strong league records, but recent form suggests a slight edge for the home team, promising a tense, tactical battle.
This encounter is likely to be a battle of possession and efficiency. PAOK's home record and defensive strength suggest they will aim to set the rhythm of the game, using their superior home scoring average to create early pressure. AEK, with their strong away form and higher possession numbers in recent away games, will look to exploit any defensive lapses and use their own attacking threat. The hosts' tendency to concede more in their last three matches, contrasted with AEK's recent defensive solidity, hints that a compact defensive shape from the visitors could be key to frustrating PAOK's potent attack.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • PAOK remains unbeaten at home this season after 15 games.
- • AEK Athens has lost only once in their 15 away league matches.
- • Both teams average over 1.7 goals scored per game across the season, with PAOK slightly higher at home.
AI Prediction
PAOK's exceptional home record, including their undefeated streak, makes them difficult to oppose. While AEK are strong travellers, the hosts' overall defensive statistics are superior, particularly at home. Both teams possess significant attacking talent, suggesting goals at both ends are probable, and given their scoring averages, the over 2.5 goals seems a reasonable expectation.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U43%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U43%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U47%BTTS37%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U43%BTTS47%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U53%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U60%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U50%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
PAOK Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | AEK Athens FC | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Panathinaikos | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Volos NFC | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Levadiakos | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Olympiakos Piraeus | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Kifisia | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Asteras Tripolis | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Larisa | 1 - 1 |
PAOK has been a formidable force at home throughout the season, remaining undefeated in their 15 home fixtures. Their overall scoring record is impressive, and at home, they average two goals per game while conceding a mere 0.3. While their most recent three games showed a dip in defensive solidity and a slight drop in possession, their last outing was a dominant 3-1 victory, showcasing their attacking potency with six shots on target from seven attempts. The underlying stats suggest PAOK are a well-drilled unit, capable of controlling matches.
AEK Athens FC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Panathinaikos | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Panathinaikos | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | PAOK | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Kifisia | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Atromitos | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Larisa | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Volos NFC | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Levadiakos | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | PAOK | 0 - 0 |
AEK Athens FC has also enjoyed a successful season, particularly demonstrating their prowess on the road where they've lost only once. They average a healthy 1.7 goals away from home, though their defence has been slightly more porous than PAOK's, conceding nearly a goal per game on their travels. Their recent form has been solid, with two wins and a draw in their last three, including a recent 1-0 away draw where they dominated possession but struggled to convert chances. AEK generally exhibits a higher foul count, indicating a more physical approach.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
