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Panetolikos vs Larisa: Relegation Battle Intensifies in Super League 1
In a crucial Super League 1 relegation group fixture, Panetolikos host Larisa in a match where both sides have struggled for consistent wins. The home side will aim to leverage their home advantage against a Larisa team that has seen a recent uptick in scoring but remains vulnerable defensively.
This fixture feels like a battle of contrasting recent trends. Panetolikos, despite their poor home form, have shown a willingness to play with possession in their own third and aim for a more patient build-up. Larisa, on the other hand, have been more dominant with the ball in their recent games, pushing high up the pitch and creating more shooting opportunities, though their defence has been breached frequently. The hosts will likely aim to frustrate Larisa, hoping to exploit any defensive lapses, while Larisa must find a way to translate their increased attacking output into goals without leaving themselves too exposed, especially since their last away game saw them concede twice.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Panetolikos have a poor home record, winning only 25% of their matches and conceding 1.8 goals on average.
- • Larisa have drawn 42.4% of their overall games this season, indicating a tendency for tight contests.
- • Despite recent scoring attempts, both teams' overall goal averages are low, suggesting a struggle for consistent attacking threat.
AI Prediction
Both teams have struggled significantly for wins this season, particularly Panetolikos at home. Larisa's recent uptick in scoring is offset by their defensive frailties away from home. The odds suggest a close contest, and given the struggles of both sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome. Despite Larisa's recent scoring, the overall defensive records and the pressure of a relegation battle point towards a low-scoring affair where neither side can find a decisive edge.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U33%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U53%BTTS53%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U57%BTTS47%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U50%BTTS53%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U50%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U50%BTTS50%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U47%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U50%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U57%BTTS43%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U57%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Panetolikos Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atromitos | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Kifisia | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Panserraikos | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Larisa | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atromitos | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Panserraikos | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Panathinaikos | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Kifisia | 2 - 1 |
Panetolikos have endured a difficult season, particularly at home where their win rate stands at a mere 25% and they concede nearly two goals per game on average. While their overall scoring is modest, they did manage to find the net in their most recent home outing, though it resulted in a loss. Recent form shows a mixed bag, with only one win in their last three overall, and their last home performance was particularly disappointing, failing to score. They appear to be a side that relies on possession in their own half but struggles to convert that into decisive attacking action.
Larisa Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Panserraikos | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Panserraikos | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Kifisia | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atromitos | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Panetolikos | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Olympiakos Piraeus | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | AEK Athens FC | 0 - 1 |
Larisa find themselves in a precarious position, with a high loss percentage across the season. Despite this, they have drawn over 40% of their games, indicating a stubbornness that prevents them from being easily beaten. Their recent form has seen them draw two out of their last three matches, and offensively they've shown flashes of promise, scoring in each of their last three contests. However, their away record is concerning, with half of their away games ending in defeat and conceding a significant number of goals on the road. They also tend to pick up a high number of cards.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.