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Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis: Relegation Battle with Recent Momentum Shifts
In a crucial Super League 1 relegation playoff, Panetolikos host Asteras Tripolis. While the season stats paint a picture of closely matched, struggling sides, recent form suggests Asteras Tripolis might hold a slight edge, despite their poor away record.
This fixture pits two sides with similar overall statistical profiles but contrasting recent trajectories. Panetolikos have shown a tendency to dominate possession at home, particularly in their last outing, which could see them try to build from the back. Asteras Tripolis, however, have struggled to impose themselves away from home, often being outshot and conceding more. Their recent improvement, especially defensively, suggests they might adopt a more patient approach, looking to frustrate the hosts and exploit any transitional opportunities, a stark contrast to Panetolikos' likely desire to play on the front foot.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Panetolikos have lost 58.8% of their home games this season.
- • Asteras Tripolis have only managed 1 away win in 17 attempts.
- • Both teams have averaged exactly one goal per game over the entire season.
AI Prediction
Both teams have struggled for consistency throughout the season, particularly in front of goal. While Asteras Tripolis have shown better recent form, their away record is abysmal. Panetolikos' recent unbeaten run offers some hope, but their home defensive record is porous. Given the overall parity and the contrasting recent form versus poor away numbers, a draw with both teams finding the net seems the most balanced outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x223%O/U43%BTTS40%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek75%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U70%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Panetolikos Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Panserraikos | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Larisa | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atromitos | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Kifisia | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Panserraikos | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Larisa | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atromitos | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Panserraikos | 0 - 0 |
Panetolikos have endured a tough season, with a heavy reliance on home form that hasn't yielded consistent results, evidenced by a 58.8% loss rate at home. Overall, their scoring has been modest, averaging just one goal per game across the season. However, their recent form shows an encouraging unbeaten streak of three matches, two of which were away. Despite this uptick, their last home outing saw them concede 1.7 goals on average, a concerning sign ahead of this fixture.
Asteras Tripolis Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Panserraikos | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Larisa | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atromitos | 4 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Atromitos | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Panetolikos | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Kifisia | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Panserraikos | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Larisa | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Panathinaikos | 1 - 2 |
Asteras Tripolis have also found the season challenging, particularly on the road where they claim just one win from seventeen games and concede a worrying 1.5 goals per outing. Their season-long scoring average is also a solitary goal per game. Interestingly, their overall recent form is strong, with an unbeaten run of three games. While their last match was a draw, they secured two wins in their preceding three, though their away form in this recent spell remains a concern, averaging only 0.7 goals scored.
Odds
Lineups
Panetolikos
(4-3-3)
Asteras Tripolis
(3-4-3)