Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis - AI Match Preview

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Greece Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis

Aris Thessalonikis

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Match Events

22'

R. Ivanov

Oluwatobiloba Alagbe

34'

35'

Michalis Panagidis

Konstantinos Pomonis

41'

Julián Bartolo

55'

66'

Lindsay Rose

73'

Konstantinos Galanopoulos

Preview

Asteras Tripolis vs Aris: A Battle of Contrasting Form in Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis host Aris Thessalonikis in a Super League 1 clash that pits the hosts' recent defensive solidity against Aris's struggling away form. Despite Aris's slight edge in the odds, Asteras's recent unbeaten run suggests a tight contest is on the cards.

This match shapes up as a classic contest between a team building defensive confidence and one grappling with away-day blues. Asteras Tripolis, likely to sit deeper given their possession stats and recent defensive focus, will aim to frustrate Aris. The visitors, despite their struggles, generally average more shots and possess better passing accuracy, suggesting they might try to play through Asteras's compact shape. However, Aris's recent defensive lapses away from home, coupled with Asteras's improved resilience, could lead to a cagey affair where clean sheets are prioritized.

Team statistics

Greece Super League 1

Asteras Tripolis

Aris Thessalonikis

Matches played

2 - 7 - 5

Results

4 - 5 - 5

14.3%

Win %

28.6%

1.1

Goals scored

0.9

1.3

Goals conceded

1.1

3.5

Shots on target

2.8

Shots off target

5.6

1.9

Blocked shots

3.1

43.4

Ball possession

51.7

76.8

Pass accuracy

80.1

13.5

Fouls

14.1

2.5

Goalkeeper saves

2.8

3.5

Yellow cards

1.9

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Asteras Tripolis are unbeaten in their last three matches, conceding just 0.3 goals per game in that span.
• Aris Thessalonikis have lost 57.1% of their away games this season, conceding an average of 1.6 goals.
• The market suggests a very close game, with Aris slightly favoured at 2.62 to win, compared to Asteras's 2.8.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a very tight contest, with Aris slightly favoured. However, Asteras's recent unbeaten run and significantly improved defensive record, particularly at home where they draw frequently, cannot be ignored. Aris's poor away form and recent defensive capitulations paint them as vulnerable. Given Asteras's scoring struggles and Aris's current away woes, a low-scoring draw feels like the most probable outcome, with both teams finding it difficult to break the deadlock.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

20%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

20%

O/U

37%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

40%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)

by google

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

20%

O/U

47%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

17%

O/U

40%

BTTS

47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

57%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)

by meta-llama

85%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

47%

BTTS

57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

20%

O/U

50%

BTTS

63%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)

by microsoft

80%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

17%

O/U

43%

BTTS

50%
mistral-nemo (de)

by mistralai

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

47%

BTTS

43%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)

by openai

66%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

43%

BTTS

40%
qwen-turbo (th)

by qwen

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

27%

O/U

47%

BTTS

60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

20%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Super League 1

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/9/2025	Asteras Tripolis	D 0 - 0 D	Aris Thessalonikis AWAY	U	N
5/10/2025	Asteras Tripolis	L 2 - 4 W	Aris Thessalonikis AWAY	O	Y
3/29/2025	HOME Asteras Tripolis	L 0 - 2 W	Aris Thessalonikis	U	N
12/23/2024	HOME Asteras Tripolis	W 2 - 1 L	Aris Thessalonikis	O	Y
8/31/2024	Asteras Tripolis	D 1 - 1 D	Aris Thessalonikis AWAY	U	Y
1/3/2024	HOME Asteras Tripolis	W 3 - 2 L	Aris Thessalonikis	O	Y
9/3/2023	Asteras Tripolis	L 2 - 3 W	Aris Thessalonikis AWAY	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Asteras Tripolis

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Kifisia	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Levadiakos	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Atromitos	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Panetolikos	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Aris Thessalonikis	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	OFI	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Panathinaikos	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Kifisia	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Panserraikos	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	PAOK	3 - 3	D	O	Y	N

Asteras Tripolis have demonstrated remarkable resilience in their last three outings, remaining unbeaten with two draws and a win. This recent run has been underpinned by a significantly tightened defence, conceding a mere 0.3 goals per game, a stark contrast to their season average of 1.3. While their overall scoring remains modest at 1.1 goals per game, their home form has been particularly draw-heavy, with 83.3% of their home fixtures ending all square. Their last match saw them concede once and fail to score, indicating that while they're harder to break down, consistent attacking output remains a challenge.

Aris Thessalonikis

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Olympiakos Piraeus	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	PAOK	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Larisa	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	AEK Athens FC	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Asteras Tripolis	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Olympiakos Piraeus	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Levadiakos	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Panathinaikos	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	OFI	0 - 3	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Panserraikos	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Aris Thessalonikis present a curious case. Seasonally, they are a fairly balanced side with a solid midfield possession game and a decent shot volume. However, their away form tells a different story, with a concerning 57.1% of away games ending in defeat and conceding 1.6 goals per away fixture. Their recent form mirrors this fragility, having lost their last three matches, including a heavy 3-1 defeat in their most recent outing where they conceded three times. Despite a decent recent scoring average of 1 goal per game in their last three matches, their current away struggles suggest they are vulnerable on the road.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.7

DRAW

2.88

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.88

UNDER

1.4

BTTS

YES

2.2

1.62

Lineups