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AEK Athens FC vs OFI: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominance in Super League 1
AEK Athens FC host OFI in a Super League 1 fixture that pits a formidable home side against a struggling visitor. AEK's strong season form, particularly at home, suggests they will dictate terms against an OFI side that has found wins hard to come by.
This fixture looks set to be a demonstration of AEK's attacking prowess against OFI's defensive frailties. AEK's high possession statistics, especially at home, suggest they will aim to control the game's rhythm through patient build-up and quick transitions. OFI, likely to be pinned back, will need to adopt a compact defensive shape, but their season-long struggles with conceding goals, combined with their poor away record, make it difficult to see them weathering AEK's storm. The home side's ability to generate numerous shots on target will likely test OFI's backline consistently.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • AEK Athens FC have won 85.7% of their home games this season.
- • OFI have lost 66.7% of their away games, conceding 2.5 goals per match.
- • AEK Athens FC have won their last three matches, scoring an average of 4 goals per game in that period.
AI Prediction
AEK Athens FC's overwhelming home form, their prolific scoring record, and OFI's dire away performances make a home win the only logical outcome. The odds heavily favour AEK, aligning with the statistical picture. Given AEK's offensive strength and OFI's recent struggles to score away from home, 'over 2.5 goals' appears likely, but 'both teams to score - no' is the more aggressive play given OFI's away scoring drought. AEK's recent 5-0 thrashing sets a high bar for their attacking potential here.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x253%O/U43%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google88%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x253%O/U43%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google88%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x250%O/U53%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U43%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U53%BTTS53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft88%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U50%BTTS50%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai90%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U37%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai84%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS43%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai88%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U53%BTTS50%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai88%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x243%O/U47%BTTS37%
H2H
Team recent
AEK Athens FC Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Panetolikos | 5 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Atromitos | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Panathinaikos | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | OFI | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Panetolikos | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Olympiakos Piraeus | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | PAOK | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Kifisia | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Volos NFC | 1 - 0 |
AEK Athens FC have been a dominant force this season, particularly on home turf. Their overall record boasts an impressive 78.6% win rate, and that figure rises to a staggering 85.7% when playing at home. They consistently create a high volume of shots, averaging over 18 on goal at home in their recent matches, and their attacking output has been exceptional, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game across the season. Their recent form is equally stellar, with three consecutive wins, including a commanding 5-0 victory in their last outing, highlighting their current potency.
OFI Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Panserraikos | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Olympiakos Piraeus | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Volos NFC | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Larisa | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | AEK Athens FC | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Asteras Tripolis | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Atromitos | 1 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Panetolikos | 2 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Aris Thessalonikis | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Kifisia | 1 - 3 |
OFI find themselves in a difficult spell, reflected in their 69.2% loss rate over the season. Their away form is particularly concerning, with four losses in their last six away matches, where they concede an average of 2.5 goals per game. While their last match saw a surprising 3-0 win, it followed a pattern of low scoring and defensive struggles, averaging less than a goal per game and facing a high number of shots on target. Recent form indicates they are struggling to break down opponents and are vulnerable at the back.
Odds
AEK Athens FC
(4-2-3-1)
OFI
(5-4-1)
