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Başakşehir vs Gazişehir Gaziantep: Hosts Seek Home Advantage Amidst Mixed Form
This Süper Lig clash sees Başakşehir hosting Gazişehir Gaziantep. While the visitors have shown recent attacking promise on the road, Başakşehir's home form has been a significant struggle, creating a fascinating dynamic for this Round 17 encounter.
Başakşehir's home games often see them dominate possession, but they struggle to translate that into clear-cut chances, averaging fewer shots on target than their away games. Gazişehir Gaziantep's away strategy might involve absorbing pressure and looking to strike on the counter, especially given their lower possession stats on the road and their recent tendency to concede more goals than they score overall. The home side will likely aim to build attacks patiently, seeking to unlock a Gazişehir defence that has been leaky in recent away matches, while the visitors will hope to exploit any defensive lapses with their improved away scoring record.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Başakşehir have only won 14.3% of their home league games this season.
- • Gazişehir Gaziantep average 1.6 goals scored per away game, outperforming their home scoring average.
- • Both teams have odds suggesting goals are expected, with BTTS 'yes' priced at 1.67.
AI Prediction
Despite Başakşehir's poor home win record, their recent uptick in form and the visitors' defensive frailty away from home makes the hosts the slight favourite. Gazişehir's recent away scoring record and Başakşehir's last match clean sheet against them, combined with the odds favouring the home side, point towards a home win. Both teams have shown the capacity to score, suggesting goals at both ends, and the average goals in recent fixtures support an over 2.5 outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U57%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U47%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U53%BTTS40%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U50%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS43%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama82%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U53%BTTS43%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS40%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U47%BTTS43%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U33%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS43%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS33%
H2H
Team recent
Başakşehir Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Samsunspor | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Fenerbahçe | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Kasımpaşa | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Trabzonspor | 3 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Genclerbirligi | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Kocaelispor | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Antalyaspor | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Rizespor | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Göztepe | 0 - 1 |
Başakşehir's overall season record paints a picture of inconsistency, with a near-equal split of wins, draws, and losses. Their home form, in particular, has been a major concern; they've secured only one victory in seven attempts, often drawing games (57.1% of home fixtures) but failing to convert that into consistent wins. Despite decent possession numbers at home, their scoring average dips to just over a goal per game. Recent form shows improvement, however, with two wins and a draw in their last three overall, and a recent home draw where they registered 18 shots, suggesting they're not entirely devoid of attacking intent.
Gazişehir Gaziantep Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Göztepe | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Beşiktaş | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Eyüpspor | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Kayserispor | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Rizespor | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Alanyaspor | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Fenerbahçe | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Antalyaspor | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fatih Karagümrük | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Samsunspor | 2 - 2 |
Gazişehir Gaziantep present a more balanced season record, slightly favouring wins over losses. Their away form is statistically stronger than their home record, boasting a respectable win rate of 42.9% and averaging more goals scored than conceded on the road. However, their recent form has taken a dip, with two losses in their last three matches, although this includes a draw in their most recent away fixture where they managed to score twice. Their away possession is notably lower than their overall average, suggesting a reliance on quicker transitions or more direct play when travelling.
Odds
Başakşehir
(4-2-3-1)
Gazişehir Gaziantep
(3-1-4-2)
Injuries / suspensions
Başakşehir Injuries / suspensions
Gazişehir Gaziantep Injuries / suspensions
