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Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: Vitoria's Home Fortress Tested in Serie A
This Serie A clash sees Vitoria hosting Vasco DA Gama, with the home side boasting a formidable record at their own ground. However, Vasco DA Gama arrive in a dismal run of form, despite their generally better possession stats.
Vitoria's success at home appears to stem from a potent attack against a relatively compact defence, allowing them to exploit teams that come at them. Vasco DA Gama's preference for possession might play into Vitoria's hands if they can absorb pressure and counter effectively, as their home form suggests they can. The visitors will likely try to leverage their superior ball retention to break down Vitoria, but their recent defensive frailties and appalling away record indicate they will struggle to contain the home side's potent attacking threat.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Vitoria have won 75% of their home games this season, conceding only 0.4 goals per match.
- • Vasco DA Gama are yet to win an away game this season, losing 50% of their matches on the road.
- • Vasco DA Gama have lost their last three consecutive matches, conceding at least two goals in each.
AI Prediction
Vitoria's overwhelming home advantage, evidenced by their strong win rate and low goals conceded at home, stands in stark contrast to Vasco DA Gama's winless away record and recent poor form. While Vasco's possession stats are better, their inability to convert this into goals or prevent conceding at home is a major concern. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U40%BTTS43%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U53%BTTS53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U67%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Vitoria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Santos | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 0 - 3 |
Vitoria have been a revelation at home this season, turning their stadium into a genuine fortress. With six wins from eight home fixtures, they concede a mere 0.4 goals per game and score nearly two on average. Their recent home form continues this trend, with two wins and a draw in their last three at home, scoring at least two in those victories. Despite a recent overall dip in form, their home performance suggests they can still turn it on when playing in front of their own fans.
Vasco DA Gama Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Atletico-MG | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Corinthians | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Remo | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Botafogo | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Coritiba | 1 - 1 |
Vasco DA Gama are in a serious slump, having lost their last three matches without a win. Their overall season record is poor, particularly away from home where they are yet to secure a victory, drawing half of their eight away games. While they tend to dominate possession and pass accurately, this hasn't translated into results, especially defensively where they've conceded 2 goals per game on average away. Their last outing saw them concede four, highlighting a fragile backline.
Odds