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Vitoria vs Palmeiras: Home Fortitude Meets Away Prowess in Serie A
Vitoria hosts Palmeiras in a Serie A clash where the home side's formidable home record faces off against Palmeiras' consistent winning form. Expect a tactical battle, potentially decided by fine margins.
This fixture presents a fascinating tactical contrast. Vitoria's home setup likely involves a compact defensive structure, aiming to leverage their strong home advantage and hit Palmeiras on the counter, particularly through their wide areas. Palmeiras, on the other hand, are expected to assert control through patient build-up play, looking to exploit any gaps that Vitoria might leave when trying to transition forward. Palmeiras' higher average of corner kicks could also present a set-piece threat.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Vitoria have won 77.8% of their home games this season, conceding only 0.3 goals per match.
- • Palmeiras have lost just one of their 18 league games overall.
- • Vitoria's last match ended in a 0-0 draw, while Palmeiras won their last game 3-0.
AI Prediction
While Vitoria's home record is outstanding, Palmeiras' overall consistency and strong away form make them the slight favourite. Palmeiras' ability to control games and their defensive solidity suggest they can negate Vitoria's home threat. The odds also favour Palmeiras, aligning with their superior season-long performance. Given Palmeiras' defensive record and Vitoria's recent struggles to score, 'Both Teams To Score: No' and 'Under 2.5 Goals' appear to offer value.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x227%O/U53%BTTS63%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U47%BTTS50%
H2H
Team recent
Vitoria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Coritiba | 4 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | - |
Vitoria's season statistics paint a picture of a team that clearly thrives on home soil. Their home record is exceptional, boasting an impressive 77.8% win rate, conceding an average of just 0.3 goals per game. This home form has been even more pronounced in their last three outings, where they've secured three straight victories, scoring an average of 2.3 goals. However, their overall season record shows a more balanced win-loss ratio, and their last match was a goalless draw, suggesting a potential dip in offensive output away from home.
Palmeiras Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Remo | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bahia | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Gremio | 2 - 1 | - |
Palmeiras stand as a dominant force in Serie A, evidenced by their strong overall record with only one loss in eighteen games. They possess a potent attack, averaging 1.7 goals per game, and a solid defence that concedes less than a goal on average. Their recent form is also impressive, with two wins and a draw in their last three, and they showcased their attacking prowess in their most recent fixture, securing a 3-0 victory. Their away form is also respectable, having won five of their nine away matches.
Odds