Sassuolo vs Lecce - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

Sassuolo

Lecce

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Preview

Sassuolo vs Lecce: Final Day Showdown in Serie A

In a crucial Serie A finale, Sassuolo hosts Lecce in a match where both teams will be looking to end their campaigns on a positive note. Despite Lecce's struggles away from home, they face a Sassuolo side that has found its home form in recent weeks, setting up a potentially tight contest.

This fixture sees Sassuolo's recent home momentum clash with Lecce's persistent away-day difficulties. Sassuolo's improved home performances, particularly their last fixture where they dominated possession and were clinical in attack, suggest they will aim to set a high tempo from the outset. Lecce, historically poor travellers, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, perhaps employing a compact defensive shape to frustrate the hosts. The midfield battle will be key, with Sassuolo likely to try and use their slightly higher average ball possession to build attacks, while Lecce might look for quick transitions when the opportunity arises.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

Sassuolo

Lecce

Matches played

14 - 7 - 15

Results

8 - 8 - 20

38.9%

Win %

22.2%

1.2

Goals scored

0.7

1.3

Goals conceded

1.3

3.8

Shots on target

2.4

4.3

Shots off target

4.1

2.7

Blocked shots

3.3

45.3

Ball possession

42.3

82.1

Pass accuracy

74.5

11.9

Fouls

12.5

3.6

Goalkeeper saves

2.9

2.3

Yellow cards

1.8

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Sassuolo have won their last three home games in Serie A.
• Lecce have lost 11 of their 18 away matches this season.
• Both teams have a season-long average of conceding 1.3 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Sassuolo's strong recent home form, culminating in three straight wins, gives them the edge. Lecce's dismal away record and low scoring average on the road suggest they will struggle to find the net consistently. Despite Lecce's last away result being a win, their overall away performance points to a defeat here. The odds suggest a close game, but Sassuolo's home advantage and recent upturn in results make them the slight favourites.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

60%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

63%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

70%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

78%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

70%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
10/18/2025	Sassuolo	D 0 - 0 D	Lecce AWAY	U	N
9/24/2024	Sassuolo	W 2 - 0 L	Lecce AWAY	U	N
4/21/2024	HOME Sassuolo	L 0 - 3 W	Lecce	O	N
10/6/2023	Sassuolo	D 1 - 1 D	Lecce AWAY	U	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Sassuolo

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Torino	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	AC Milan	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Fiorentina	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Como	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Genoa	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Cagliari	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Juventus	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Bologna	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Lazio	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Atalanta	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Sassuolo enters the final matchday having rediscovered their winning touch at home, securing three consecutive victories in their last three home outings. While their overall season has been inconsistent, with more losses than wins, their recent home form suggests they can finish strongly. They've averaged a respectable 1.3 goals per game at home throughout the season, and their last home performance saw them score twice without reply, indicating a potential resurgence in attacking efficiency. However, their overall season conceded average of 1.3 goals per game suggests defensive vulnerabilities can still be exploited.

Lecce

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Juventus	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Pisa	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Verona	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Fiorentina	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Bologna	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Atalanta	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	AS Roma	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Napoli	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Cremonese	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Como	1 - 3	L	O	Y	N

Lecce's away form has been a significant concern throughout the season, marked by a high number of losses. Their recent away performances mirror this trend, with two defeats in their last three away games, though they did manage a draw in the other. They've averaged a mere 0.7 goals per away game over the season, highlighting their offensive struggles on the road. While their last away game saw them score twice, this was an outlier against a stronger opponent, and their overall statistics suggest they will find it difficult to create clear-cut chances against Sassuolo, particularly given their low average of just 2.1 shots on goal away from home.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.7

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

2.62

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

UNDER

1.8

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Sassuolo

Name	Reason	Type	G/A

Lecce

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
F. Marchwiński	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

Sassuolo vs Lecce AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Sassuolo vs Lecce: Final Day Showdown in Serie A

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Sassuolo Team recent

Lecce Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

Sassuolo Injuries / suspensions

Lecce Injuries / suspensions

League table