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Santos vs Vitoria: Can Hosts Stem the Defensive Bleeding in Serie A?
Santos host Vitoria in Serie A, with the home side looking to arrest a concerning defensive trend that has seen them lose two of their last three. Vitoria, meanwhile, have found success at home but struggle significantly on the road, setting up an intriguing tactical battle.
This fixture pits Santos's desire to control possession, particularly at home where they average over 51% ball retention, against Vitoria's defensive frailties away from home. Santos will likely attempt to build from the back, utilizing their superior passing accuracy, aiming to exploit Vitoria's porous away defence. However, Santos's own recent defensive lapses, including a red card in their last outing, suggest Vitoria could find opportunities on the counter, particularly if Santos overcommit. The home side's recent defensive struggles might invite Vitoria to sit deeper and rely on quick transitions.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Vitoria have lost 62.5% of their away games this season, conceding an average of 2.4 goals.
- • Santos have lost 2 of their last 3 matches overall, conceding 6 goals in that span.
- • The odds suggest a home win for Santos, with a 1.75 price for them to take all three points.
AI Prediction
While Santos's defence is shaky, their home advantage and Vitoria's dismal away record give them the edge. The odds favour the hosts, and their ability to generate shots, combined with Vitoria's tendency to concede heavily on the road, points towards a home win. Both teams have shown they can score, but neither has a particularly watertight defence recently, suggesting goals at both ends and an over 2.5 outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Santos Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Gremio | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Palmeiras | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Bahia | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Fluminense | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Remo | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 0 - 0 |
Santos have shown flashes of attacking capability, averaging 1.4 goals per game over the season. However, their defensive record is a major concern, conceding 1.6 goals per game overall and a worrying 2.0 in their last three outings. Despite enjoying more possession at home, their recent home form shows a dip, with two losses in their last three, including a blank scoring effort in their very last home match. The overall season win rate of just 23.5% underscores their inconsistency.
Vitoria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 4 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Mirassol | 1 - 0 |
Vitoria present a stark contrast in home and away form. While formidable at home, their away record is dire, with no wins in eight away matches and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. Their recent away form mirrors this, with one draw and two losses in their last three away fixtures, scoring just once in that period. Despite a better overall win percentage (37.5%), their inability to secure points on the road remains a significant hurdle.
Odds
Lineups
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.