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Santos vs Vasco DA Gama: Early Season Struggles Continue in Serie A
This Serie A clash sees two sides looking for a much-needed boost, with both Santos and Vasco DA Gama yet to register a win this season. Despite contrasting possession stats, both have struggled to convert dominance into points, suggesting a tense affair where clinical finishing could be key.
This match promises a fascinating tactical battle, with Santos likely to try and leverage their slightly superior home advantage and average possession numbers to dictate the rhythm of play. However, Vasco DA Gama's higher overall ball possession suggests they will aim to control the centre of the park and build attacks patiently. Santos have shown a tendency to be defensively vulnerable, particularly in their last match where their possession dropped significantly and they conceded. Vasco DA Gama, despite their possession dominance, have struggled to turn it into goals and their last game was a blank. Expect Santos to try and be more direct, while Vasco DA Gama will look to break down a potentially fragile home defence.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Santos have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game across their last three matches.
- • Vasco DA Gama have averaged 23 total shots per game in their last three fixtures but only scored 0.7 goals.
- • Both teams are yet to win a single game in Serie A this season.
AI Prediction
Both Santos and Vasco DA Gama are struggling for wins, but they both possess attacking capability and defensive frailties. The odds suggest a slightly tighter affair, but the underlying stats point towards goals, with both teams averaging over a goal per game and conceding heavily. Given their respective home and away records, and the fact neither has been able to impose themselves fully, a draw with goals at both ends feels like the most logical outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U67%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Santos Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 4 |
Santos have endured a difficult start to the league campaign, failing to secure a victory in their opening three fixtures. While they've managed to find the net in each of those games, their defence has been notably porous, conceding an average of over two goals per match. Their home form mirrors this overall trend, with a draw and a loss from their two home games, though last time out at home they managed to hold Vasco DA Gama to a 1-1 draw. Their recent form shows a concerning pattern of conceding, with two losses in their last three overall games, despite showing flashes of attacking intent.
Vasco DA Gama Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Bahia | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Mirassol | 1 - 2 |
Vasco DA Gama are also yet to taste victory and have been similarly profligate in front of goal, scoring less than a goal per game on average. Their defensive record, however, is slightly more respectable than Santos', conceding just over a goal per game across the season. Interestingly, Vasco DA Gama's away form has been their stronger suit, with a draw and a loss in their two away matches, but they did lose their most recent away fixture 2-1. They dominate possession significantly more than their opponents, but this hasn't translated into enough goals, and their last outing saw them fail to score.
Odds
Lineups
Santos
(4-4-2)
Vasco DA Gama
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Santos Injuries / suspensions
Vasco DA Gama Injuries / suspensions
