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RB Bragantino vs Gremio: Hosts Aim to Reassert Home Dominance in Serie A
RB Bragantino host Gremio in a Serie A clash that pits the home side's solid home record against Gremio's dire away form. While Bragantino have struggled for goals recently, Gremio have been shipping them on the road, suggesting a potential edge for the hosts.
RB Bragantino will likely aim to leverage their home advantage by establishing a controlled build-up, using their slightly higher average possession to probe Gremio's defence. The key for the hosts will be to rediscover their attacking spark and convert their shot volumes into goals, particularly against a Gremio side that has been defensively porous away from home. Gremio, meanwhile, will probably look to maintain possession in midfield and hope to counter, but their lack of attacking threat and defensive fragility on the road suggests they may find it difficult to impose themselves or stem the tide of home pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • RB Bragantino averages 1.5 goals per home game this season.
- • Gremio has not won any of their last 11 away league matches.
- • Gremio concedes an average of 1.5 goals per away game.
AI Prediction
The stark contrast in home and away form, combined with Gremio's recent defensive struggles, points towards an RB Bragantino victory. Despite Bragantino's own recent goal drought, their home record and attacking statistics suggest they have the capability to break down Gremio's leaky away defence. The odds also favour the home side, reinforcing this view. While Bragantino's recent scoring has been poor, Gremio's away defence is too weak to ignore, and the potential for goals at both ends exists.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U53%BTTS70%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U50%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
RB Bragantino Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Corinthians | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Coritiba | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 3 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Vitoria | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | - |
RB Bragantino have endured a tough recent spell, highlighted by a paltry 0.3 goals scored across their last three games, including a blank in their most recent outing. However, their overall season record shows a decent scoring rate of 1.2 per game, and crucially, their home form remains a significant asset. At home, they average 1.5 goals and have secured more wins than losses, indicating they are typically a tough proposition on their own turf. Despite a recent dip, the underlying stats for shots and possession at home still suggest they can create chances.
Gremio Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico-MG | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Mirassol | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Corinthians | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos | 3 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bahia | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Flamengo | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Coritiba | 1 - 0 | - |
Gremio's away form is a serious concern, evidenced by a winless record in their last seven away matches and a dismal 0.5 goals scored per game over the season on the road. Recent form hasn't offered much respite, with the team losing two of their last three away games and conceding heavily. Their overall season statistics paint a picture of a team that struggles to find the net and is vulnerable defensively, particularly when travelling. While they do possess the ball reasonably well away from home, this hasn't translated into tangible results or goal-scoring opportunities.
Odds
Lineups
RB Bragantino
(4-2-3-1)
Gremio
(4-1-4-1)
