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Italy Serie A
Parma logo
Parma
Lazio logo
Lazio
Match Events
42'
Mattia Zaccagni
Emanuele Valeri
51'
62'
Matteo Cancellieri
Nahuel Estévez
77'
77'
Toma Bašić
82'
T. Noslin

Preview

Parma vs Lazio: Can the hosts upset the odds in Serie A?

Parma host Lazio in Serie A, with the home side struggling for wins but showing recent signs of life. Lazio, meanwhile, have a poor away record this season, making this a potentially tricky fixture despite their superior overall form and odds.

This encounter pits Parma's desire to build on recent improvements against Lazio's inconsistent away form. The hosts, despite their struggles, have shown a willingness to get shots off recently. They will likely aim to disrupt Lazio's rhythm with a compact defensive shape, hoping to catch the visitors on the break. Lazio, who typically enjoy more possession and higher passing accuracy, will need to find a way to break down a potentially stubborn home defence without falling victim to counter-attacks, a task they've found difficult away from home this season.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Parma
VS
Lazio
14
Matches played
14
3 - 5 - 6
Results
5 - 4 - 5
21.4%
Win %
35.7%
0.7
Goals scored
1.1
1.2
Goals conceded
0.8
2.9
Shots on target
4.4
4.4
Shots off target
4.8
3.5
Blocked shots
1.9
42.1
Ball possession
50.5
75.5
Pass accuracy
84.1
9.9
Fouls
10.9
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.8
1.9
Yellow cards
1.6
0.2
Red cards
0.2
League averages

Key points

  • • Parma have won only once at home all season, conceding 1.4 goals per game.
  • • Lazio have secured just one away win in seven league matches.
  • • Despite recent form improvements for Parma, their overall scoring average remains low at 0.7 goals per game.

AI Prediction

Lazio are the bookmakers' favourite, but their away form is a significant concern, contrasting sharply with their strong home record. Parma's recent upturn in results, despite a poor last home outing, suggests they could make this a difficult game. The data points towards a low-scoring affair, with both sides struggling to consistently put the ball in the net, especially away from home for Lazio. A draw with both teams finding the net feels like the most balanced outcome.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    63%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    68%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    72%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    68%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    X DRAW
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    50%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    40%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    65%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    82%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    70%
    Parma HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    63%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    33%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    53%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Lazio AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    50%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    70%
    X DRAW
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    70%
    Parma HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    57%

H2H

Serie A
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
4/28/2025
Parma
D 2 - 2 D
Lazio
AWAY
OY
12/1/2024HOME
Parma
W 3 - 1 L
Lazio
OY
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Parma Team recent

Parma logo
Parma
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Pisa1 - 0WUNN
HOME
Udinese0 - 2LUNY
AWAY
Verona2 - 1WOYN
HOME
AC Milan2 - 2DOYN
HOME
Bologna1 - 3LOYN
AWAY
AS Roma1 - 2LOYN
HOME
Como0 - 0DUNN
AWAY
Genoa0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Lecce0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Torino2 - 1WOYN

Parma are mired in a difficult campaign, having secured just three wins from fourteen league matches. Their home form is particularly concerning, with only one victory in seven attempts, often leaking goals at a rate of nearly one and a half per game. However, the last three fixtures have seen an upturn in performance, with two wins and a respectable goal average of one per game, suggesting they might be building some momentum. The last outing, though a home loss, saw them concede twice while failing to score, a worrying return to their season-long scoring woes.

Lazio Team recent

Lazio logo
Lazio
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Bologna1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
AC Milan0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Lecce2 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Inter0 - 2LUNN
HOME
Cagliari2 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Pisa0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Juventus1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Atalanta0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Torino3 - 3DOYN
AWAY
Genoa3 - 0WONN

Lazio present a mixed picture, with their overall record showing more draws than wins or losses. Their home form is their clear strength, where they are scoring nearly two goals a game. Away from home, however, they have struggled significantly, winning only once in seven matches and conceding almost a goal a game. Their recent form has also dipped, with only one win in their last three, and their last outing was a frustrating 1-1 draw at home, followed by a heavy away defeat where they failed to score. This suggests a team that can be potent at home but finds it difficult to break down opponents on the road.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Parma
HOME
3.9
DRAW
3.25
Lazio
AWAY
2.05
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2.3
UNDER
1.62
BTTS
YES
2
NO
1.75
Lineups
Parma

Parma

(4-4-2)

Edoardo Corvi
Emanuele Valeri
Lautaro Valenti
Enrico Del Prato
Sascha Britschgi
Gaetano Oristanio
Mandela Keita
Nahuel Estévez
Adrián Bernabé
Mateo Pellegrino
Adrian Benedyczak
Mattia Zaccagni
Valentín Castellanos
Matteo Cancellieri
Toma Bašić
Danilo Cataldi
Mattéo Guendouzi
Luca Pellegrini
Alessio Romagnoli
Patric
Adam Marušić
Ivan Provedel
Lazio

Lazio

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Parma Injuries / suspensions

Parma logo
Parma
NameReasonTypeG/A
A. CircatiLeg InjuryMissing Fixture1 / 0
M. FriganKnee InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
A. NdiayeGroin InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0
Z. SuzukiFinger InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 0

Lazio Injuries / suspensions

Lazio logo
Lazio
NameReasonTypeG/A
PatricSprained ankleMissing Fixture0 / 0
S. GigotAnkle InjuryMissing Fixture- / -
M. GilaRed CardMissing Fixture0 / 0
E. HysajInactiveMissing Fixture0 / 0
G. IsaksenMuscle InjuryMissing Fixture3 / 1
N. RovellaGroin InjuryMissing Fixture0 / 1

League table

Italy Serie A
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter16120435142136WWWWL
2AC Milan16105127131435WDWWW
3Napoli16111424131134WLWWW
4AS Roma1711062011933WLWLL
5Juventus179532315832WWWLW
6Como1676322121027WLLWW
7Bologna1675424141026DLDLW
8Lazio176651812624DDWDL
9Sassuolo176472221122DLDWL
10Atalanta175752019122LWWLW
11Udinese176471828-1022DLWLW
12Cremonese175661820-221LDLWW
13Torino175571728-1120LWWLL
14Cagliari174671924-518WDLWL
15Parma164571118-717WLWLW
16Lecce164481122-1116LWLWL
17Genoa173591727-1014LLLWW
18Verona162681325-1212LWWLL
19Pisa171881224-1211LDLLL
20Fiorentina1716101728-119LWLLL
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