Parma vs Cagliari - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

Parma

Cagliari

Match Events

21'

Juan Rodríguez

40'

Alberto Dossena

Mateo Pellegrino

56'

62'

Michael Folorunsho

Lautaro Valenti

63'

65'

Ibrahim Sulemana

Gaetano Oristanio

83'

90'

Adam Obert

Preview

Parma vs Cagliari: Serie A Stalemate Looms?

Parma host Cagliari in a Serie A clash that, on paper, suggests a tightly contested affair. Both sides have struggled for consistent wins throughout the season, and their recent form offers contrasting, yet equally concerning, pictures. This fixture has the hallmarks of a low-scoring encounter where fine margins could decide the outcome.

This match is poised to be a battle of contrasting recent trajectories. Parma, buoyed by their impressive recent three-game run, will likely aim to impose themselves with increased possession and a higher shot count, potentially looking to exploit wider areas. Cagliari, on the other hand, will be wary of their own recent defensive frailties and will probably adopt a more compact structure, aiming to frustrate the hosts and perhaps strike on transitions. Given Parma's recent possession dominance at home and Cagliari's struggles to score away, the game might revolve around Parma's ability to break down a potentially deep-lying Cagliari defence.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

Parma

Cagliari

Matches played

8 - 8 - 10

Results

7 - 8 - 11

30.8%

Win %

26.9%

0.7

Goals scored

1.1

1.2

Goals conceded

1.3

2.9

Shots on target

3.3

4.7

Shots off target

4.3

3.8

Blocked shots

2.5

44.3

Ball possession

45.7

78.8

Pass accuracy

79.8

10.2

Fouls

15.3

Goalkeeper saves

3.5

1.8

Yellow cards

2.3

0.2

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• Parma have won all of their last three matches, scoring 1.3 goals per game in that span.
• Cagliari have failed to score in two of their last three games, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game.
• The odds suggest a tight game, with the draw odds priced at 2.9.

AI Prediction

While Parma's recent form has been outstanding, their overall season record and home defensive issues are concerning. Cagliari's recent scoring drought and away defensive struggles make them vulnerable, but their overall competitive record suggests they can grind out results. The odds suggest a close contest, and the statistical trends point towards a game where neither side can establish clear dominance, making a draw the most logical outcome. Both teams' recent defensive records suggest goals are possible at both ends, but overall scoring averages indicate a lack of clinical finishing.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

50%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

53%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
9/13/2025	Parma	L 0 - 2 W	Cagliari AWAY	U	N
2/9/2025	Parma	L 1 - 2 W	Cagliari AWAY	O	Y
9/30/2024	HOME Parma	L 2 - 3 W	Cagliari	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Parma

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	AC Milan	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Verona	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Bologna	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Juventus	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Atalanta	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Genoa	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Napoli	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Lecce	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Inter	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Sassuolo	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Parma have endured a difficult season overall, with more losses than wins and a modest scoring record underpinned by just under a goal per game. Their home form has been particularly porous, conceding significantly more than they score. However, a glance at their last three outings reveals a dramatic upturn in performance, including a perfect win record and a substantial increase in shots and possession. Their most recent solitary match saw a dominant display in possession and a significant uptick in shots, although their scoring output remained modest.

Cagliari

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Lazio	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Lecce	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	AS Roma	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Verona	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Fiorentina	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Juventus	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Genoa	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Cremonese	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	AC Milan	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Torino	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N

Cagliari's season has mirrored Parma's in many ways, marked by a higher number of defeats than victories and a slightly negative goal difference. Their away performances have been particularly challenging, often conceding more than they manage to score. Recent form, however, has been a concern, with only one win in their last three and a worrying drop in offensive output, managing just 0.7 goals per game while conceding heavily. Their last fixture was a stark illustration of this recent slump, failing to score and leaking two goals.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.25

DRAW

2.9

AWAY

3.7

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.5

UNDER

1.53

BTTS

YES

1.75

Lineups

Parma

(3-1-4-2)

Edoardo Corvi

Lautaro Valenti

Mariano Troilo

Enrico Del Prato

Mandela Keita

Emanuele Valeri

Christian Ordoñez

Adrián Bernabé

Sascha Britschgi

Gabriel Strefezza

Mateo Pellegrino

Sebastiano Esposito

Semih Kılıçsoy

Adam Obert

Ibrahim Sulemana

Joseph Liteta

Michel Adopo

Marco Palestra

Juan Rodríguez

Alberto Dossena

Zé Pedro

Elia Caprile

Cagliari

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Parma

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
P. Almqvist	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Frigan	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
Z. Suzuki	Finger Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Ndiaye	Groin Injury	Questionable	- / -

Cagliari

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
M. Folorunsho	Knee Injury	Questionable	- / -
A. Deiola	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
Y. Mina	Red Card	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Belotti	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
G. Borrelli	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Felici	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
G. Gaetano	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
L. Mazzitelli	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

Parma vs Cagliari AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Parma vs Cagliari: Serie A Stalemate Looms?

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Parma Team recent

Cagliari Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Parma

Cagliari

Injuries / suspensions

Parma Injuries / suspensions

Cagliari Injuries / suspensions

League table