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Preview
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense-sc: Title Aspirants Host Struggling Visitors in Serie A
Serie A leaders Palmeiras welcome a Chapecoense-sc side in dire straits. The form book and statistics suggest a stern test for the visitors, who face an uphill battle against a dominant home side.
This fixture presents a classic scenario of a dominant home force against a struggling away side. Palmeiras will likely seek to impose their usual rhythm, leveraging their superior possession and attacking threat to break down Chapecoense-sc early. The visitors, given their defensive record, will probably adopt a deep defensive block, aiming to frustrate Palmeiras and perhaps catch them on a rare transition. However, Palmeiras' ability to create chances from various areas and their solid home record suggests they possess the tools to penetrate even the most resolute defences. Chapecoense-sc's recent struggles, particularly in conceding multiple goals in defeats, indicate they may find it difficult to contain the hosts' sustained pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Palmeiras remain undefeated at home this season, winning 75% of their home fixtures.
- • Chapecoense-sc have lost 71.4% of their away games, failing to secure a single victory.
- • Palmeiras average 1.9 goals at home, while Chapecoense-sc concede 1.7 goals away.
AI Prediction
Palmeiras' overwhelming home record and superior attacking statistics, contrasted with Chapecoense-sc's abysmal away form and defensive vulnerabilities, make a home win a near certainty. The odds strongly favour Palmeiras. Given Palmeiras' scoring prowess and Chapecoense-sc's defensive issues, a match with several goals seems likely, with both teams potentially finding the net.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U50%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U53%BTTS40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS73%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x257%O/U53%BTTS67%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google90%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS70%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS70%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U70%BTTS70%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai84%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x247%O/U57%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Palmeiras Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Flamengo | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Remo | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Santos | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bahia | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Gremio | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 1 - 0 |
Palmeiras have been imperious at home this season, remaining undefeated in their eight matches played. Their overall season record is strong, with a high win percentage and a formidable goal difference, averaging nearly two goals scored per game while conceding less than one. Recent form shows a slight dip in their winning percentage over the last three, drawing two games, but their overall attacking output remains consistent, and they secured a convincing win in their last outing. Their home performances highlight a team that controls matches, boasting strong possession and passing accuracy.
Chapecoense-sc Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Remo | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Mirassol | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Botafogo | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Vitoria | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 0 - 2 |
Chapecoense-sc find themselves in a precarious position, languishing near the bottom of the table with a very low win rate. Their season has been characterised by a high number of losses, particularly away from home where they are yet to secure a victory. While their recent form has seen them pick up a point in one of their last three games, they have lost the other two, conceding heavily in the process. The last match saw them concede two goals, continuing a worrying trend of defensive frailty. Their away statistics paint a grim picture, with low scoring output and a porous defence that struggles to contain opponents.
Odds
Lineups
Palmeiras
(4-3-3)
Chapecoense-sc
(4-4-1-1)
