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Mirassol vs Vitoria: Hosts Aim to Capitalise on Visiting Woes in Serie A
Mirassol host Vitoria in a Serie A clash where the home side looks to leverage Vitoria's dismal away form. While Mirassol have been inconsistent overall, their home record offers a glimmer of hope against a Vitoria side that has struggled significantly on the road.
This match looks set to be a battle of contrasting home and away form. Mirassol will likely aim to establish control in midfield, using their slightly higher average possession to build attacks. They'll be looking to exploit Vitoria's defensive frailties, particularly the space that might appear when Vitoria pushes forward, which their recent attacking output suggests they might. Vitoria, conversely, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, seeking to frustrate Mirassol and potentially hit them on the counter, though their limited goal threat away from home might make this difficult. Mirassol's recent tendency to draw suggests they might struggle to convert dominance into goals.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Vitoria have not won any of their 12 away league matches this season.
- • Mirassol have won 5 of their 13 home games, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- • Vitoria concede an average of 2.2 goals per game on the road.
AI Prediction
Mirassol's home advantage and Vitoria's abysmal away record are the deciding factors here. While Mirassol aren't defensively solid, Vitoria's away struggles are too significant to ignore, especially their inability to win. Both teams have shown a propensity to concede, pointing towards goals at both ends and potentially over 2.5.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U67%BTTS63%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek75%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U47%BTTS33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U63%BTTS63%
H2H
Team recent
Mirassol Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Palmeiras | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Flamengo | 1 - 5 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Remo | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Gremio | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fluminense | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico-MG | 1 - 3 | - |
Mirassol's season has been a mixed bag, marked by more losses than wins overall. However, their home form presents a more positive picture, with a slight majority of their wins coming at their own ground. Despite this, they've conceded nearly as many goals at home as they've scored, indicating they can be vulnerable. Recent form, however, shows a concerning trend of draws, with no wins in their last three matches, though their last outing was a solid 1-1 draw at home.
Vitoria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico-MG | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Bahia | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 0 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Palmeiras | 0 - 4 | - | ||||
AWAY | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 0 - 2 | - |
Vitoria's season mirrors Mirassol's in terms of overall losses, but their away record is particularly alarming. They have failed to secure a single victory on their travels this season, suffering defeat in two-thirds of their away fixtures. Their defence has been porous on the road, conceding over two goals per game on average. Recent performances have not offered much respite, with only one win in their last three overall and a heavy defeat in their most recent away match, where they conceded two goals.
