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Mirassol vs Fluminense: Serie A Stalemate on the Horizon?
Mirassol hosts Fluminense in a Serie A clash that, statistically, points towards a closely contested affair. While Fluminense boasts a stronger overall season record, recent form and home advantage for Mirassol suggest neither side will easily concede ground.
This fixture sets up an interesting tactical battle between Mirassol's moderate possession game at home and Fluminense's typically dominant ball control. The home side's recent tendency to ramp up shot output in their last home fixture, coupled with Fluminense's struggles to convert dominance into wins away from home, suggests Mirassol might attempt to play on the front foot. Fluminense, despite their attacking prowess, may find it difficult to break down a Mirassol side that, while not winning a lot, has shown resilience at home and in recent draws.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Mirassol's home games average slightly more goals scored than conceded.
- • Fluminense has a losing record in away matches this season.
- • Both teams have similar recent form, with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three games.
AI Prediction
The odds suggest a very tight contest, with all outcomes priced similarly, reflecting the nuanced data. Mirassol's home form and recent shot volume offer hope, while Fluminense's superior overall season record is tempered by their away day vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown they can concede recently, pointing towards goals for both, but Fluminense’s recent scoring struggles away from home and Mirassol's overall win-loss record suggest a low-scoring outcome, making a draw a plausible result.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon78%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U50%BTTS67%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U57%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x230%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U47%BTTS67%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x230%O/U43%BTTS53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U37%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x223%O/U53%BTTS57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U33%BTTS57%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x227%O/U37%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
Mirassol Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico-MG | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bahia | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Botafogo | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 0 - 1 |
Mirassol's season statistics paint a picture of a side that struggles for wins, with over half of their games ending in defeat overall. However, their home record shows a slightly more resilient performance, achieving draws more frequently and conceding only marginally fewer goals than they score. Recent form has been inconsistent, mirroring their season's trend with a win, draw, and loss in their last three, though their last home outing saw them dominate possession and shots, ending in a draw.
Fluminense Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Vitoria | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Chapecoense-sc | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Santos | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Flamengo | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Coritiba | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 3 |
Fluminense arrives as the statistically superior side over the season, boasting a healthy win percentage and outscoring opponents considerably. Their away form, however, offers a different narrative, with more losses than wins and a concerning defensive record on the road, conceding more than they score. While their overall possession numbers are high, their recent away form has dipped, losing two of their last three away matches and suffering a defeat in their most recent outing, where their attack was unusually blunt.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
