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Mirassol vs Botafogo: Home Advantage Tested in Serie A Clash
Mirassol hosts Botafogo in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A encounter. While Mirassol has been resilient at home, Botafogo arrives with a concerning recent away record, despite their overall season performance suggesting a more balanced outfit.
This match could be dictated by Mirassol's ability to leverage their home advantage against Botafogo's poor away form. The hosts will likely aim to establish a compact defensive shape, looking to frustrate Botafogo and exploit any defensive lapses. Botafogo, despite their recent struggles, have shown they can create chances with a decent shot volume, so their challenge will be to break down Mirassol's home resilience without leaving themselves too exposed to counter-attacks, a common tactic for teams struggling on the road.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Mirassol has lost just 4 of their 13 home games this season.
- • Botafogo have lost 7 of their 13 away matches, conceding 1.8 goals per game.
- • Botafogo have lost their last 3 matches overall, conceding 2.3 goals per game in that run.
AI Prediction
Mirassol's home form, coupled with Botafogo's dire recent away performances, points towards a home win. Botafogo's overall attacking capability suggests they will find the net, but their defensive issues on the road make them vulnerable. The odds reflect a relatively close contest, but the recent trends favour the home side taking advantage.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS63%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x237%O/U47%BTTS33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U63%BTTS63%
H2H
Team recent
Mirassol Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Palmeiras | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Santos | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Flamengo | 1 - 5 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 1 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Remo | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Gremio | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fluminense | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Atletico-MG | 1 - 3 | - |
Mirassol has shown some grit at home this season, securing more than half of their points on their own turf. Their overall scoring average of 1.3 goals per game at home is respectable, though they do concede a similar number. Recent form has been a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three home outings, mirroring their overall trend of drawing too many games. They did manage a solid 1-1 draw in their very last home match, showing a capability to grind out results.
Botafogo Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Flamengo | 0 - 3 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 3 | - | ||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Vitoria | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Santos | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Bahia | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Corinthians | 3 - 1 | - |
Botafogo presents a curious profile. While their overall season stats indicate a slightly better scoring rate (1.5 goals per game) and more wins than Mirassol, their away form is a significant concern. They have lost seven of their thirteen away matches, conceding nearly two goals per game on the road. This defensive fragility away from home is starkly contrasted by their recent struggles, having lost their last three matches overall, conceding a hefty 2.3 goals on average. Their last away performance was particularly poor, a heavy 3-0 defeat where they struggled to retain possession and generate chances.
Odds