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Lecce vs Genoa: Final Day Showdown in Serie A
This Serie A season finale sees Lecce hosting Genoa in a match where both sides have contrasting recent fortunes. Lecce have struggled at home lately, while Genoa arrive with a more resilient away record despite a recent dip in overall form.
This fixture pits Lecce's recent attacking resurgence, albeit blunted in their last home game, against Genoa's generally more disciplined defence. Genoa's ability to retain possession, particularly in their away matches, might allow them to dictate the rhythm of the game. However, Lecce's surprising recent scoring form, especially in the 3-2 win, suggests they could pose a threat if they can translate that attacking intent into their home stadium once more. Genoa's recent away draws, like the 0-0, indicate a potential for a tight, low-scoring contest, especially if Lecce revert to their season-long struggles at home.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Lecce have lost 50% of their overall games this season, highlighting their struggles.
- • Genoa have drawn 38.9% of their away games, indicating a capacity to pick up points on the road.
- • Lecce's most recent home game saw them fail to score, a concerning sign against Genoa's defence.
AI Prediction
Despite Lecce's recent scoring spurt, their overall home record and last home performance suggest a struggle to break down Genoa. The visitors, while not prolific away, are difficult to beat and have a solid defensive record. The odds favour Lecce, but the recent form and Genoa's resilience on the road suggest a tight, cagey affair where goals will be at a premium, making a draw the most plausible outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon65%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U47%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek72%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U57%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U60%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U67%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x260%O/U63%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama70%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U47%BTTS47%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U53%BTTS40%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS43%
grok-4.3 (ko)by x-ai62%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U60%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Lecce Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Sassuolo | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Juventus | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Pisa | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Verona | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Bologna | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Atalanta | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | AS Roma | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Napoli | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Cremonese | 2 - 1 |
Lecce have endured a difficult season overall, with a heavy leaning towards losses. Their home form mirrors this, picking up few wins and conceding more than they score. While their recent three-game spell saw a surprising surge in attacking output, this was immediately followed by a toothless home performance where they failed to find the net. The team has struggled to maintain possession and create consistent chances throughout the campaign, often being outplayed, particularly in the second half of the season.
Genoa Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | AC Milan | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Fiorentina | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Atalanta | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Como | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Pisa | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Juventus | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Udinese | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Verona | 2 - 0 | |||||
HOME | AS Roma | 2 - 1 |
Genoa, meanwhile, have been a more solid unit, securing more draws than wins but boasting a slightly better scoring record than Lecce. Their away form is not spectacular but shows a greater ability to avoid defeat compared to their home record. Recent form has been a mixed bag; despite a strong run of two wins and a draw in their final three games, the last outing was a goalless draw on the road. They tend to keep possession better than their opponents and are more efficient with their passing.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.
Injuries / suspensions
Lecce Injuries / suspensions
Genoa Injuries / suspensions
