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Serie A: Como Favored Away at Struggling Lecce
Serie A action sees Como travel to Lecce for a mid-season clash. The visitors arrive in better overall form and boast a superior attacking record, while Lecce have shown recent home resilience despite their season-long struggles.
This fixture pits Como's possession-based, attacking style against Lecce's more pragmatic, often defensive approach, especially at home. Como's ability to dominate possession and create shooting opportunities, evidenced by their high shots on goal, will likely be tested by Lecce's recent improvements in defensive solidity at home, as seen in their last match where they conceded zero shots on target. Lecce's challenge will be to capitalize on any rare attacking moments against a Como side that, despite recent setbacks, generally controls matches effectively. The visitors will likely aim to exploit Lecce's defensive structure with patient buildup play, while Lecce might look to hit on the counter if the opportunity arises.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Como averages 1.3 goals scored per game over the season, compared to Lecce's 0.7.
- • Lecce's home defence has conceded 1 goal per game on average this season.
- • Como boasts a significantly higher ball possession average (59.9%) compared to Lecce (45.3%).
AI Prediction
Como's superior season-long statistics, particularly their offensive output and control of possession, give them a distinct advantage. Despite Lecce's recent home improvement, Como's away form is generally solid, and the odds reflect their status as clear favourites. Lecce's low scoring average suggests they will struggle to find the net against a relatively tight Como defence, making a low-scoring outcome probable.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x233%O/U63%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U53%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U47%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U57%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U57%BTTS63%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U47%BTTS60%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U47%BTTS63%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U50%BTTS53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama60%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS53%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U53%BTTS57%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U37%BTTS47%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai68%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U50%BTTS63%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U57%BTTS60%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai68%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U33%BTTS43%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72%
AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U47%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Lecce Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Pisa | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Cremonese | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Torino | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lazio | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Verona | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Napoli | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Udinese | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Sassuolo | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Parma | 1 - 0 |
Lecce find themselves in a precarious position, languishing near the bottom of Serie A. Their overall season record paints a picture of a team that struggles to convert chances, averaging less than a goal per game while conceding over one on average. While their home form is marginally better than their away record, they've still only secured two wins from eight home fixtures. However, a commanding 1-0 victory in their most recent home outing, coupled with a significant increase in shots and possession in that single game, suggests a potential flicker of life. Despite this, the underlying season-long defensive frailties remain a concern.
Como Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | AS Roma | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Inter | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Sassuolo | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Torino | 5 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Napoli | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Verona | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Parma | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Juventus | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Atalanta | 1 - 1 |
Como presents a much more encouraging profile, sitting comfortably in the top half of the table. Their season-long stats highlight a well-drilled unit that scores more than it concedes, boasting a significantly higher average of goals scored and a more efficient passing game. Their away form, though not perfect with three losses, has seen them secure points in 62.5% of their away fixtures. Recent form has been a mixed bag, with two losses in their last three overall, but their last home game was a dominant 2-0 win showcasing their attacking prowess. Away from home, however, their last outing was a disappointing 0-1 loss, indicating a potential vulnerability when on the road.
Odds
Lecce
(4-1-4-1)
Como
(4-2-3-1)
Injuries / suspensions
Lecce Injuries / suspensions
Como Injuries / suspensions
