Italy Serie A
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Inter
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Lecce

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Inter vs Lecce: Serie A Leaders Host Struggling Visitors

Serie A leaders Inter welcome Lecce to San Siro in what appears a mismatch on paper. Inter have been dominant all season, while Lecce find themselves in a worrying dip in form, struggling to score and conceding heavily.

Inter have established themselves as formidable title contenders, boasting a superb overall record of 14 wins from 19 games. Their home form is particularly strong, with an impressive 2.6 goals scored per game. While the last match saw them draw 2-2, their recent form shows they've been scoring freely, netting 3 goals in two of their last three outings. They maintain a high level of possession and passing accuracy, indicating control and offensive intent.

Lecce are battling to stay clear of the relegation zone, with just four wins from their 19 league fixtures. Their recent form is a major concern, having lost two of their last three matches without scoring a single goal, while conceding 1.7 per game. Away from home, they've managed only two wins all season, and their overall scoring average of 0.7 goals per game suggests a significant struggle in the final third. Defensive frailties are also evident, with a tendency to concede more than they score.

This fixture is set up for Inter to impose their attacking style. Expect them to dominate possession, using their superior passing range to break down Lecce's defence. The visitors' recent struggles, particularly their low possession numbers and defensive red cards, suggest they may adopt a deep defensive block, hoping to frustrate Inter. However, Inter's consistent goal-scoring threat, especially at home, and their ability to create chances through various attacking patterns, should ultimately prove too much.

Inter's overwhelming statistical superiority, particularly their potent attack and strong home record, makes them heavy favourites. Lecce's dire recent form, marked by a lack of goals and defensive issues, suggests they will struggle to contain the league leaders. The odds strongly favour a home win, aligning with the data.

Key points

  • Inter average 2.2 goals per game across the season, and 2.6 at home.
  • Lecce have lost two of their last three matches, failing to score in any of them.
  • The odds heavily favour Inter, reflecting their dominant season form.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Inter
VS
Lecce
19
Matches played
19
14 - 1 - 4
Results
4 - 5 - 10
73.7%
Win %
21.1%
2.2
Goals scored
0.7
0.9
Goals conceded
1.4
5.8
Shots on target
2.6
7.1
Shots off target
4.2
4.8
Blocked shots
3.1
58.9
Ball possession
44.1
86.6
Pass accuracy
75.7
13.9
Fouls
12.3
1.9
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
1.5
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0.1
League averages

AI Prediction

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    85%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    37%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    88%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    88%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    88%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    53%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)
    by google
    88%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    90%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    53%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)
    by meta-llama
    85%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    63%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    70%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    63%
  • microsoft/phi-4-multimodal-instruct
    phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)
    by microsoft
    88%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    67%
    O/U
    43%
    BTTS
    60%
  • mistralai/mistral-nemo
    mistral-nemo (de)
    by mistralai
    85%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    40%
    BTTS
    47%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:exacto
    gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%
  • qwen/qwen-turbo
    qwen-turbo (th)
    by qwen
    85%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    63%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    88%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    70%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    90%
    Inter HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    73%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%

H2H

Serie A
Match dateTeamScoreTeamOVER/UNDER 2.5BTTS
1/26/2025
Inter
W 4 - 0 L
Lecce
AWAY
OU
8/24/2024HOME
Inter
W 2 - 0 L
Lecce
UU
2/25/2024
Inter
W 4 - 0 L
Lecce
AWAY
OU
12/23/2023HOME
Inter
W 2 - 0 L
Lecce
UU

Team recent

Inter Team recent

Inter logo
Inter
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Inter2 - 2DOY-
AWAY
Inter2 - 0WUN-
HOME
Inter3 - 1WOY-
AWAY
Inter1 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Inter2 - 1WOY-
HOME
Inter4 - 0WON-
AWAY
Inter2 - 0WUN-
HOME
Inter0 - 1LUN-
HOME
Inter2 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Inter2 - 1WOY-

Lecce Team recent

Lecce logo
Lecce
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Lecce1 - 2LOY-
HOME
Lecce0 - 2LUN-
AWAY
Lecce1 - 1DUY-
HOME
Lecce0 - 3LON-
HOME
Lecce1 - 0WUN-
AWAY
Lecce0 - 2LUN-
HOME
Lecce2 - 1WOY-
AWAY
Lecce0 - 2LUN-
HOME
Lecce0 - 0DUN-
AWAY
Lecce1 - 0WUN-
O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Inter
HOME
1.14
DRAW
9
Lecce
AWAY
17
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
1.53
UNDER
2.5
BTTS
YES
2.62
NO
1.44
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Inter Injuries / suspensions

Inter logo
Inter
NameReasonTypeG/A

Lecce Injuries / suspensions

Lecce logo
Lecce
NameReasonTypeG/A
F. MarchwińskiJumpers kneeMissing Fixture0 / 0

League table

Italy Serie A
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter16120435142136WWWWL
2AC Milan16105127131435WDWWW
3Napoli16111424131134WLWWW
4AS Roma1711062011933WLWLL
5Juventus179532315832WWWLW
6Como1676322121027WLLWW
7Bologna1675424141026DLDLW
8Lazio176651812624DDWDL
9Sassuolo176472221122DLDWL
10Atalanta175752019122LWWLW
11Udinese176471828-1022DLWLW
12Cremonese175661820-221LDLWW
13Torino175571728-1120LWWLL
14Cagliari174671924-518WDLWL
15Parma164571118-717WLWLW
16Lecce164481122-1116LWLWL
17Genoa173591727-1014LLLWW
18Verona162681325-1212LWWLL
19Pisa171881224-1211LDLLL
20Fiorentina1716101728-119LWLLL