Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Match Events
Preview
Gremio vs Vitoria: Hosts Aim to Extend Strong Home Form in Serie A
Gremio host Vitoria in Serie A, with the home side boasting an impressive scoring record at home this season. Vitoria, meanwhile, have struggled defensively on the road, setting up a potentially one-sided contest where Gremio will look to assert their dominance.
Gremio's potent home attack, which averages nearly 3 goals, will likely look to exploit Vitoria's defensive frailties away from home. The hosts' ability to generate shots and maintain possession, especially in their recent fixtures, suggests they could control the flow of the game. Vitoria, who typically operate with lower possession and struggle to create significant chances on the road, may have to adopt a more defensive approach, attempting to frustrate Gremio and hit them on the counter. However, Gremio's robust home scoring record and recent attacking intent indicate they will be the dominant force, aiming to break down Vitoria's less assured defence.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Gremio are averaging 2.7 goals per game at home this season.
- • Vitoria have conceded an average of 3 goals per game in their away matches.
- • Gremio's last three home games have seen them score at least two goals.
AI Prediction
Gremio's exceptional home scoring record, averaging over 2.5 goals per game at home, stands in stark contrast to Vitoria's defensive struggles on the road. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical evidence. While Gremio's last match was a draw, their overall home form and attacking output suggest they are well-positioned to take advantage of Vitoria's away-day vulnerabilities, making a home win with goals at both ends the most logical outcome.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U67%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Gremio Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Botafogo | 5 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 1 - 2 |
Gremio have started the season strongly, particularly on home turf where they average an impressive 2.7 goals per game. Their overall season record shows a balanced performance with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, but their home form is a clear standout, with two wins from three matches and a perfect record in their last three home games. They are generating a healthy number of shots, averaging 15 per game at home recently, and their recent form suggests they are building momentum, especially with their last outing yielding a 1-1 draw where they dominated possession and passing accuracy.
Vitoria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Atletico-MG | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bahia | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Flamengo | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Palmeiras | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Remo | 2 - 0 |
Vitoria present a mixed picture. Their overall season sees them with 2 wins and 2 losses from 5 games, but their away form is a significant concern, having failed to win in their last two away fixtures and conceding heavily in those matches. While they managed a 1-1 draw in their most recent away game, the statistics show a team that struggles to create and defend consistently on the road, averaging just 7.5 shots and conceding 3 goals per game away from home this season. Their last outing was a 2-0 victory, suggesting they can be effective at home, but replicating that form away from home remains a challenge.
Odds
Lineups
Gremio
(4-2-3-1)
Vitoria
(4-3-3)