Gremio vs Santos - AI Match Preview

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Brazil Serie A

Gremio

Santos

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Preview

Gremio vs Santos: Home Strength Meets Away Resilience in Serie A

This Serie A fixture pits Gremio's strong home form against a Santos side that has found drawing difficult away from home but remains competitive. Expect a tactical battle where Gremio will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Santos looks to exploit any defensive lapses.

Gremio's strategy will likely revolve around asserting dominance on home turf, aiming to use their higher average shot volume and possession at home to break down Santos. They will look to build attacks through wider areas, as indicated by their higher corner count at home. Santos, conversely, may adopt a more pragmatic approach away from home, potentially sitting deeper and looking to counter, especially given their recent struggles to convert possession into goals away from home and their tendency to concede. The midfield battle will be crucial in determining who sets the rhythm, with Santos's possession stats at home suggesting they can tilt the flow if Gremio aren't sharp.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A

Gremio

Santos

Matches played

4 - 6 - 6

Results

4 - 6 - 6

25%

Win %

25%

Goals scored

1.3

1.1

Goals conceded

1.6

3.6

Shots on target

3.3

4.3

Shots off target

4.8

3.4

Blocked shots

4.1

49.9

Ball possession

48.5

83.8

Pass accuracy

81.4

13.2

Fouls

12.4

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

2.4

Yellow cards

3.2

0.2

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Gremio have won 57.1% of their home games this season.
• Santos are yet to win an away game this season, drawing 57.1% of them.
• Gremio's last home match saw them fail to score and lose.

AI Prediction

Gremio's formidable home record, coupled with their higher shot generation at home, gives them the edge. While Santos are resilient away, their winless record and defensive fragility on the road are concerning. The odds suggest a competitive match, and with both teams showing capability to score but also defensive vulnerabilities, BTTS is a reasonable shout, though Gremio's home advantage should see them edge it.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

50%

BTTS

67%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)

by deepseek

75%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

37%

O/U

57%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

33%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

50%

BTTS

63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

47%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

43%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

37%

BTTS

53%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

23%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

71%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

33%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.3 (ko)

by x-ai

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

37%

BTTS

60%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
10/2/2025	Gremio	D 1 - 1 D	Santos AWAY	U	Y
5/4/2025	HOME Gremio	W 1 - 0 L	Santos	U	N
8/20/2023	Gremio	L 1 - 2 W	Santos AWAY	O	Y
4/16/2023	HOME Gremio	W 1 - 0 L	Santos	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Gremio

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Bahia	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Flamengo	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Atletico Paranaense	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Coritiba	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Internacional	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Remo	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Palmeiras	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Vitoria	2 - 0	W	U	N	N

Gremio have built their season on a solid home record, winning over half of their games at home and scoring a respectable 1.6 goals per outing. Their recent home form shows a mixed bag, with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three, but they still managed to generate considerable attacking pressure in those games, with 16 shots on goal in one instance. Last time out at home, however, they struggled offensively, failing to score and losing, suggesting they can be vulnerable when their usual attacking flow is disrupted.

Santos

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Coritiba	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	RB Bragantino	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Palmeiras	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Bahia	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Fluminense	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Atletico-MG	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Flamengo	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Remo	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Internacional	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N

Santos present an interesting paradox. While their overall record sees them with as many losses as wins and draws, their away form is characterized by a high number of draws (57.1%) despite a winless record. They've managed to score an average of 1.3 goals on the road this season, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 2.0 goals per away game. Their most recent outing saw them secure a draw away from home, showing resilience, a common theme for them on their travels.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.15

DRAW

3.25

AWAY

3.6

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.15

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palmeiras	16	10	5	1	26	13	13	35	DDDWW
2	Flamengo	14	9	3	2	27	12	15	30	WDWWW
3	Fluminense	16	9	3	4	27	21	6	30	WDLWW
4	Sao Paulo	16	7	3	6	22	18	4	24	LLDWL
5	Atletico Paranaense	15	7	2	6	20	16	4	23	LDWLW
6	Coritiba	16	6	5	5	21	19	2	23	WDLLW
7	Bahia	15	6	5	4	21	19	2	23	DLDDL
8	Botafogo	15	6	3	6	29	28	1	21	WDLDW
9	Atletico-MG	16	6	3	7	21	22	-1	21	WDWLL
10	Internacional	16	5	6	5	20	17	3	21	WDWDL
11	RB Bragantino	15	6	2	7	17	18	-1	20	LWLWL
12	Vasco DA Gama	16	5	5	6	22	25	-3	20	LWDLW
13	Cruzeiro	16	5	5	6	21	26	-5	20	DWLWW
14	Vitoria	14	5	4	5	18	20	-2	19	DWLDW
15	Gremio	16	4	6	6	16	18	-2	18	DLDWL
16	Santos	16	4	6	6	21	25	-4	18	LWDDL
17	Corinthians	16	4	6	6	14	18	-4	18	LWLWD
18	Mirassol	15	3	4	8	17	23	-6	13	LDWLW
19	Remo	15	2	6	7	16	25	-9	12	DWLLD
20	Chapecoense-sc	14	1	6	7	14	27	-13	9	DLLLL

Gremio vs Santos AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Gremio vs Santos: Home Strength Meets Away Resilience in Serie A

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Gremio Team recent

Santos Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

League table