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Brazil Serie A
Fluminense logo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo logo
Sao Paulo

Preview

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominance in Serie A Clash

Fluminense host Sao Paulo in a Serie A fixture that pits the home side's strong campaign against Sao Paulo's inconsistent form. The hosts have been particularly formidable at home, while Sao Paulo have struggled on the road, suggesting a challenging fixture for the visitors.

Fluminense's dominance at home, characterized by high possession and significant attacking output, will likely see them attempt to set the rhythm of the game. They will aim to use their superior ball retention and attacking volume to break down Sao Paulo. The visitors, meanwhile, have shown a tendency to concede freely when playing away from home and have a poor recent defensive record. Sao Paulo's struggle to maintain possession in recent home games suggests they may be forced into a more reactive stance, potentially looking for quick transitions, though their recent winless streak indicates this hasn't been effective.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Fluminense
VS
Sao Paulo
15
Matches played
15
8 - 3 - 4
Results
7 - 3 - 5
53.3%
Win %
46.7%
1.7
Goals scored
1.4
1.3
Goals conceded
1.1
6.3
Shots on target
3.9
5.9
Shots off target
4.2
3.5
Blocked shots
3.6
60.7
Ball possession
52.8
87.9
Pass accuracy
83.3
13.8
Fouls
14.9
3.3
Goalkeeper saves
2.7
2.3
Yellow cards
2.1
0.1
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • Fluminense have won 75% of their home league games this season.
  • • Sao Paulo have lost 50% of their away league matches.
  • • Fluminense average 1.9 goals per game at home, while Sao Paulo concede 1.4 goals per away game.

AI Prediction

Fluminense's dominant home record, coupled with their consistent scoring and shot volume, makes them clear favourites. Sao Paulo's abysmal away form and recent defensive frailties, despite showing flashes of scoring, point towards a home victory. The odds also favour the home side, aligning with the statistical analysis. Given both teams' recent scoring tendencies and Fluminense's offensive strength, a match with goals at both ends seems plausible.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    70%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    68%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    37%
    O/U
    73%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    68%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    70%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    60%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    88%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    40%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    57%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    72%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    77%
    BTTS
    67%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    70%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    63%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ja)
    by x-ai
    72%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    63%
  • x-ai/grok-4.1-fast
    grok-4.1-fast (ko)
    by x-ai
    72%
    Fluminense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    70%

H2H

Serie A
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
11/27/2025HOME
Fluminense
W 6 - 0 L
Sao Paulo
ON
7/27/2025
Fluminense
L 1 - 3 W
Sao Paulo
AWAY
OY
9/1/2024HOME
Fluminense
W 2 - 0 L
Sao Paulo
UN
5/13/2024
Fluminense
L 1 - 2 W
Sao Paulo
AWAY
OY
11/23/2023HOME
Fluminense
W 1 - 0 L
Sao Paulo
UN
7/1/2023
Fluminense
L 0 - 1 W
Sao Paulo
AWAY
UN
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Fluminense Team recent

Fluminense logo
Fluminense
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Vitoria2 - 2DOYY
AWAY
Internacional0 - 2LUNN
HOME
Chapecoense-sc2 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Santos3 - 2WOYN
HOME
Flamengo1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Coritiba1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Corinthians3 - 1WOYY
HOME
Atletico-MG1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Vasco DA Gama2 - 3LOYY
HOME
Atletico Paranaense3 - 2WOYY

Fluminense have built a solid season so far, boasting a 53.3% win rate overall and a formidable 75% win rate at home. They average nearly two goals per game on home turf, backed by an impressive 17.4 shots per outing and 7.3 shots on target. While their recent form shows a slight dip with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three, their home performances suggest they remain a stern test for any opponent. Their possession game is strong, consistently above 60%.

Sao Paulo Team recent

Sao Paulo logo
Sao Paulo
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Corinthians2 - 3LOYY
HOME
Bahia2 - 2DOYY
HOME
Mirassol1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Vasco DA Gama1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Vitoria0 - 2LUNY
HOME
Cruzeiro4 - 1WOYY
AWAY
Internacional1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Palmeiras0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
Atletico-MG0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
RB Bragantino2 - 1WOYN

Sao Paulo present a mixed picture. Their overall record shows more losses than wins, and their away form is particularly concerning, with a 50% loss rate on the road this season. They concede an average of 1.4 goals away from home and struggle to find the net consistently, scoring just one goal per game on average. Recent form is also worrying, having lost all three of their last fixtures, conceding 2.3 goals per game in that span. Despite this, they did manage to score twice in their last outing, albeit in a loss.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Fluminense
HOME
1.91
DRAW
3.5
Sao Paulo
AWAY
4.1
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2.08
UNDER
1.73
BTTS
YES
1.91
NO
1.91
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras14103124111333DWWDW
2Flamengo1383226121427DWWWW
3Fluminense158342520527DLWWL
4Sao Paulo147341913624DWLLW
5Atletico Paranaense147252015523DWLWL
6Bahia146442018222LDDLW
7RB Bragantino146261716120WLWLW
8Coritiba155551819-120DLLWD
9Vitoria145451820-219DWLDW
10Cruzeiro155462025-519WLWWW
11Botafogo145362627-118DLDWD
12Atletico-MG155371821-318DWLLL
13Internacional154651616018DWDLD
14Vasco DA Gama144552021-117DLWDL
15Gremio144551516-117DWLDD
16Santos143651922-315DDLWL
17Corinthians143651013-315LWDDL
18Mirassol133371519-412WLWLL
19Remo142571524-911WLLDD
20Chapecoense-sc131571326-138LLLLD
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