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Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominant Home Record in Serie A
Fluminense host Chapecoense-sc in Serie A, with the home side boasting a formidable home record that should see them heavily favoured. Chapecoense-sc have struggled immensely on the road, making this a challenging fixture.
Fluminense are expected to dominate possession, using their superior ball retention and passing to probe Chapecoense-sc's defence. The home side's attacking intent, evident in their higher shot volumes, will likely see them push forward, aiming to exploit spaces. Chapecoense-sc, on the other hand, may adopt a more defensive posture, attempting to frustrate the hosts and perhaps catch them on a rare counter-attack. However, their poor away scoring record and defensive frailties suggest they will struggle to contain Fluminense's offensive pressure.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Fluminense have won 83.3% of their home games this season.
- • Chapecoense-sc have failed to win any of their last three away matches, scoring zero goals.
- • The odds indicate a strong likelihood of a home victory for Fluminense.
AI Prediction
Fluminense's overwhelming home advantage and strong offensive statistics, contrasted with Chapecoense-sc's dire away form and scoring struggles, make the hosts the clear pick. The odds also strongly favour a home win. While Fluminense's recent overall form has been mixed, their home performances suggest they are well-placed to exploit Chapecoense-sc's weaknesses. The visitors' inability to score away from home, coupled with Fluminense’s attacking prowess, points towards a clean sheet for the hosts.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U50%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Fluminense Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Santos | 3 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Flamengo | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Coritiba | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Remo | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Palmeiras | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Botafogo | 1 - 0 |
Fluminense have been a force to be reckoned with at home this season, securing five wins from their last six matches. Their attacking output at home is impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while their defence has been solid, conceding only once in those fixtures. While their recent form across all competitions shows a slight dip with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three, their home performance in that spell remains strong, with two wins in three. They possess a clear advantage in possession and passing accuracy, suggesting they can control the game.
Chapecoense-sc Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Botafogo | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Vitoria | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Gremio | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 |
Chapecoense-sc are in a precarious position, with their overall season record marred by a high number of losses. Their away form is particularly concerning, failing to secure a single victory in four attempts and averaging a dismal 0.3 goals per game. The recent trend mirrors this struggle, with three consecutive losses in their last three matches across all competitions, conceding a concerning 2.3 goals per game. Their possession stats are significantly lower than their opponents, and their passing accuracy is also well below par, indicating potential difficulties in building sustained attacks.
Odds
Lineups
Fluminense
(4-2-3-1)
Chapecoense-sc
(3-4-1-2)
