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Coritiba vs Palmeiras: Hosts Face Stern Test Against League Leaders
Coritiba host league leaders Palmeiras in a Serie A fixture that pits contrasting recent form against each other. The home side has shown signs of life offensively, while Palmeiras continue their dominant march at the top.
This match presents a classic clash of styles and form. Coritiba, despite their lower possession numbers, have shown a recent willingness to push forward, as evidenced by their increased shots on goal in the last three games. They will likely look to exploit any defensive lapse from Palmeiras. However, Palmeiras' robust defensive unit, which has been shutting down opponents effectively, coupled with their superior attacking output and passing accuracy, suggests they will aim to control the game through sustained pressure and quick transitions. Palmeiras' ability to generate high shot volumes, especially on the road, will be a key factor.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Palmeiras have lost only one game all season, showcasing remarkable consistency.
- • Coritiba's recent scoring form has seen them average two goals per game in their last three matches.
- • Palmeiras boast an average of 1.7 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per game across the season.
AI Prediction
Palmeiras' overall dominance and strong away record make them the clear favourites, despite Coritiba's recent attacking improvements. The odds reflect this, with Palmeiras heavily favoured. Coritiba's last match saw them concede three goals, and while they've been scoring more recently, Palmeiras' defence is exceptionally strong. Yet, Palmeiras' recent away games and their own defensive record suggest goals are likely for both sides.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x263%O/U40%BTTS43%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek78% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x263%O/U57%BTTS60%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x260%O/U63%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Coritiba Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Flamengo | 0 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Bahia | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Santos | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Gremio | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Botafogo | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 |
Coritiba come into this fixture with a mixed bag of results over the season, sitting on a respectable 38.9% win rate. However, recent form paints a more encouraging picture. In their last three outings, they've secured two wins and a draw, scoring an impressive average of two goals per game, a significant uptick from their season average of 1.3. Their home form, while not spectacular, has seen them lose only twice in eight matches, and their last home game was a convincing 3-2 victory. They will need to build on this offensive momentum.
Palmeiras Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Remo | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Santos | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Bahia | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Gremio | 2 - 1 |
Palmeiras are, by some distance, the team to beat in Serie A. Their overall record of 12 wins in 18 games, with a meagre single loss, is testament to their dominance. They average 1.7 goals per game while conceding a stingy 0.7. Their recent form is equally formidable, with two wins and a draw in their last three, maintaining a strong scoring record and a remarkably tight defence, conceding less than a goal per game across that span. Away from home, they've proven adept, winning five of nine matches and demonstrating a potent attack.
Odds