Corinthians vs Sao Paulo - AI Match Preview

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Brazil Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

Match Events

Raniele

17'

41'

Luciano

Gabriel Paulista

45'

Matheus Bidu

45'

Sabino

45'

Jonathan Calleri

45'

Damián Bobadilla

Matheuzinho

52'

Breno Bidon

57'

73'

Enzo Díaz

89'

Matheuzinho

Pedro Raul

90'

Zakaria Labyad

90'

Luan Santos

Preview

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo: Derby Paulista Amidst Mixed Fortunes

This Serie A clash sees Corinthians host Sao Paulo in a fixture that pits the hosts' solid home form against Sao Paulo's overall stronger season performance. Expect a tactical battle where Corinthians will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Sao Paulo will look to impose their attacking flair.

This derby is likely to be a contest of contrasting recent trends. Corinthians, typically a side that controls possession, have seen their recent home games become less possession-dominant, potentially indicating a more direct approach or struggling to build play effectively. Sao Paulo, despite their overall offensive capability, have shown defensive fragility on the road and a tendency to concede multiple goals recently. Expect Sao Paulo to try and exploit any gaps with their higher shot volume, while Corinthians will aim to be efficient with their chances, perhaps looking to exploit set-pieces or quick transitions against a visiting side that has been prone to conceding.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

Matches played

3 - 6 - 5

Results

7 - 3 - 4

21.4%

Win %

50%

0.7

Goals scored

1.4

0.9

Goals conceded

0.9

2.9

Shots on target

3.9

Shots off target

4.5

3.4

Blocked shots

3.6

53.4

Ball possession

82.4

Pass accuracy

83.4

14.4

Fouls

15.1

3.4

Goalkeeper saves

2.6

2.7

Yellow cards

1.9

0.3

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• Corinthians have a solid home possession average of 54.9%, but this drops significantly in recent home matches.
• Sao Paulo's away form shows a negative goal difference, conceding 1.1 goals per game on average.
• Despite recent away struggles, Sao Paulo have consistently generated a high number of shots in their last three away fixtures.

AI Prediction

While Sao Paulo's overall season record is stronger, their recent away form is a concern, coupled with Corinthians' decent home stats. The odds suggest a closely fought match, with Corinthians slightly favoured at home. Both teams have shown they can score, but their defensive records, particularly Sao Paulo's away from home and Corinthians' recent home discipline issues, suggest goals at both ends. However, the overall scoring averages and the recent trends lean towards a game that might not explode in terms of goals, making a draw a reasonable outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

47%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

68%

AWAY

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Serie A H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/20/2025	HOME Corinthians	W 3 - 1 L	Sao Paulo	O	Y
7/20/2025	Corinthians	L 0 - 2 W	Sao Paulo HOME	U	N
9/29/2024	Corinthians	L 1 - 3 W	Sao Paulo HOME	O	Y
6/16/2024	HOME Corinthians	D 2 - 2 D	Sao Paulo	O	Y
9/30/2023	Corinthians	L 1 - 2 W	Sao Paulo HOME	O	Y
5/14/2023	HOME Corinthians	D 1 - 1 D	Sao Paulo	U	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Corinthians

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Mirassol	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Vitoria	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Palmeiras	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Internacional	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Fluminense	1 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Flamengo	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Santos	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Coritiba	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y

Corinthians present a curious case. While their overall season scoring average is modest at 0.7 goals per game, their home record shows a slight improvement in shots on goal, suggesting they can create opportunities in front of their own fans. However, their recent home form in the last 3 games has been a mixed bag, with a slight dip in attacking output and a concerning red card in their last home outing, despite a victory. Their possession figures are generally stable, but the passing accuracy dips noticeably in recent home matches, hinting at potential sloppiness when under pressure.

Sao Paulo

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Bahia	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Mirassol	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Vitoria	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Cruzeiro	4 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Internacional	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Palmeiras	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Atletico-MG	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	RB Bragantino	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y

Sao Paulo have enjoyed a more successful overall campaign, averaging 1.4 goals per game and boasting a respectable win rate. Their away form, however, tells a different story, with more draws than wins and a negative goal difference on the road, conceding more than they score. Recent form has been particularly worrying for Sao Paulo away from home, suffering two losses in their last three away matches and conceding 1.7 goals per game. Despite these struggles, they still managed to generate a significant number of shots in their last away fixture, suggesting a capacity to create chances when they commit men forward.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.95

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

4.1

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.4

UNDER

1.53

BTTS

YES

2.1

1.67

Lineups

Corinthians

(4-2-3-1)

6.78

Hugo Souza

6.94

Matheus Bidu

6.98

Gustavo Henrique

7.06

Gabriel Paulista

6.87

Matheuzinho

6.78

Raniele

6.92

André Carrillo

N/A

Jesse Lingard

7.13

Rodrigo Garro

6.92

Breno Bidon

6.65

Yuri Alberto

N/A

Jonathan Calleri

N/A

Ferreirinha

N/A

Luciano

7.03

Artur

N/A

Danielzinho

N/A

Damián Bobadilla

N/A

Enzo Díaz

N/A

Sabino

N/A

Dória

N/A

Cédric Soares

N/A

Rafael

Sao Paulo

(4-2-3-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Serie A
1	Palmeiras	23	14	6	3	40	19	21	48	LDWLW
2	Flamengo	22	13	6	3	44	19	25	45	WWDDW
3	Atletico Paranaense	23	12	5	6	31	20	11	41	DWDWW
4	Fluminense	23	10	8	5	34	28	6	38	WDDDD
5	Cruzeiro	23	10	6	7	32	32	0	36	WWWLW
6	Bahia	23	8	10	5	32	28	4	34	DDDDD
7	RB Bragantino	22	9	5	8	27	23	4	32	DLDDW
8	Atletico-MG	22	9	5	8	30	27	3	32	WDWDW
9	Corinthians	23	8	8	7	25	22	3	32	LWDDW
10	Coritiba	23	8	7	8	28	30	-2	31	DWLDL
11	Botafogo	22	8	6	8	35	34	1	30	LDWDW
12	Vitoria	23	8	5	10	23	33	-10	29	WLLLD
13	Sao Paulo	22	7	6	9	27	26	1	27	DLDLL
14	Santos	22	6	7	9	32	35	-3	25	WLDLW
15	Gremio	22	6	7	9	24	30	-6	25	LWDLL
16	Mirassol	22	6	5	11	25	35	-10	23	LLWDW
17	Internacional	22	5	8	9	23	27	-4	23	DDLLL
18	Remo	22	5	7	10	26	36	-10	22	DLWLW
19	Vasco DA Gama	22	5	7	10	23	34	-11	22	LDDLL
20	Chapecoense-sc	22	1	8	13	23	46	-23	11	DLDLL

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo: Derby Paulista Amidst Mixed Fortunes

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Corinthians Team recent

Sao Paulo Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Corinthians

Sao Paulo

Injuries / suspensions

League table