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Brazil Serie A
Corinthians logo
Corinthians
Atletico-MG logo
Atletico-MG

Preview

Corinthians vs Atletico-MG: Hosts Eyeing Home Advantage in Serie A Clash

Corinthians host Atletico-MG in a Serie A fixture that pits the home side's recent resurgence against Atletico-MG's mixed away form. The hosts will aim to build on a strong home performance, while Atletico-MG seeks to arrest a concerning away trend.

This match could see Corinthians attempt to control the game through possession, as indicated by their higher ball possession stats at home, and exploit Atletico-MG's defensive frailties away from home. The visitors, despite their recent offensive surge, have shown a tendency to concede multiple goals on the road, and their last away game saw them struggle to convert pressure into clear chances. Corinthians' last home game saw them dominate possession despite a lower ball possession percentage, suggesting a more direct approach that might trouble Atletico-MG's leaky away defence. The hosts' recent home success, marked by an increased shot count and shots on target, sets them up to potentially dictate the flow.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A
Filter by Period

Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Corinthians
VS
Atletico-MG
16
Matches played
16
4 - 6 - 6
Results
6 - 3 - 7
25%
Win %
37.5%
0.9
Goals scored
1.3
1.1
Goals conceded
1.4
3
Shots on target
4.7
4.6
Shots off target
5.1
3.6
Blocked shots
4.1
53.9
Ball possession
49.2
82.7
Pass accuracy
82.3
13.9
Fouls
11.2
3.3
Goalkeeper saves
2.9
2.7
Yellow cards
1.8
0.3
Red cards
0.2
League averages

Key points

  • • Corinthians have won 37.5% of their home games this season, scoring 1 goal per game.
  • • Atletico-MG have lost 75% of their away matches this season.
  • • The last home game for Corinthians saw them score 3 goals from 15 shots on target.

AI Prediction

Corinthians' home form, coupled with their recent attacking output in their last home fixture, aligns with the odds favouring them. Atletico-MG's significant struggles away from home, despite their recent overall upturn in form, suggest they will find it difficult to secure a result here. Both teams have shown the capacity to score and concede, pointing towards a lively encounter.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • amazon/nova-lite-v1
    nova-lite-v1 (fr)
    by amazon
    72%
    Atletico-MG AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    57%
  • deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro
    deepseek-v4-pro (ja)
    by deepseek
    72%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    57%
    BTTS
    47%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)
    by google
    65%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    57%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)
    by google
    65%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    50%
    O/U
    67%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001
    gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)
    by google
    70%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS NO
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    57%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    50%
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    75%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    63%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.1-8b-instruct
    llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)
    by meta-llama
    80%
    Atletico-MG AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    47%
    BTTS
    47%
  • meta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
    llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)
    by meta-llama
    70%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    53%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    40%
  • openai/gpt-oss-120b:free
    gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)
    by openai
    78%
    Atletico-MG AWAY
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    43%
    O/U
    50%
    BTTS
    43%
  • x-ai/grok-4.3
    grok-4.3 (ko)
    by x-ai
    63%
    Corinthians HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 OVER
    1x2
    60%
    O/U
    60%
    BTTS
    53%

H2H

Serie A
Match dateTeamScoreTeamO/U 2.5BTTS
10/18/2025HOME
Corinthians
W 1 - 0 L
Atletico-MG
UN
5/25/2025
Corinthians
D 0 - 0 D
Atletico-MG
AWAY
UN
7/28/2024
Corinthians
L 1 - 2 W
Atletico-MG
AWAY
OY
4/14/2024HOME
Corinthians
D 0 - 0 D
Atletico-MG
UN
11/9/2023HOME
Corinthians
D 1 - 1 D
Atletico-MG
UY
7/8/2023
Corinthians
W 1 - 0 L
Atletico-MG
AWAY
UN
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Corinthians Team recent

Corinthians logo
Corinthians
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Botafogo1 - 3LOYN
HOME
Sao Paulo3 - 2WOYY
AWAY
Mirassol1 - 2LOYY
HOME
Vasco DA Gama1 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Vitoria0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Palmeiras0 - 0DUNN
HOME
Internacional0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
Fluminense1 - 3LOYY
HOME
Flamengo1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Chapecoense-sc0 - 0DUNN

Corinthians have endured a somewhat inconsistent season, reflected in their 37.5% loss rate overall. However, their home form shows a slight improvement, with more wins than losses at home and a respectable goal average. Recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins and two losses in their last four outings, though their last home game was a dominant 3-2 victory, showcasing attacking intent with a high shot count and six shots on target. This suggests they can be potent when they click, especially in front of their own supporters.

Atletico-MG Team recent

Atletico-MG logo
Atletico-MG
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Mirassol3 - 1WOYY
HOME
Botafogo1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Cruzeiro3 - 1WOYN
HOME
Flamengo0 - 4LONY
AWAY
Coritiba0 - 2LUNY
AWAY
Santos0 - 1LUNY
HOME
Atletico Paranaense2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Chapecoense-sc4 - 0WONN
AWAY
Fluminense0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Sao Paulo1 - 0WUNN

Atletico-MG present a curious statistical profile. While their overall season record shows more losses than wins, their recent form has been impressive, boasting two wins and a draw in their last three matches, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game. This surge, however, has primarily occurred in their home fixtures. Away from home, they've struggled significantly, losing six of eight games and conceding 1.3 goals per match. Their last away outing was a heavy 3-1 defeat, characterized by a high volume of shots but very few on target, and a possession-heavy approach that yielded little.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Corinthians
HOME
1.8
DRAW
3.3
Atletico-MG
AWAY
5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2.35
UNDER
1.57
BTTS
YES
2.1
NO
1.67
Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras16105126131335DDDWW
2Flamengo1493227121530WDWWW
3Fluminense169342721630WDLWW
4Sao Paulo167362218424LLDWL
5Atletico Paranaense157262016423LDWLW
6Coritiba166552119223WDLLW
7Bahia156542119223DLDDL
8Botafogo156362928121WDLDW
9Atletico-MG166372122-121WDWLL
10Internacional165652017321WDWDL
11RB Bragantino156271718-120LWLWL
12Vasco DA Gama165562225-320LWDLW
13Cruzeiro165562126-520DWLWW
14Vitoria145451820-219DWLDW
15Gremio164661618-218DLDWL
16Santos164662125-418LWDDL
17Corinthians164661418-418LWLWD
18Mirassol153481723-613LDWLW
19Remo152671625-912DWLLD
20Chapecoense-sc141671427-139DLLLL
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