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Chapecoense vs Vasco DA Gama: Can Hosts Halt Away Slide in Serie A?
Chapecoense-sc host Vasco DA Gama in a Serie A clash where the home side desperately needs to arrest a concerning run of form. Vasco, despite their own defensive frailties on the road, will be looking to exploit Chapecoense's home struggles.
This fixture pits a Chapecoense side struggling for consistency, particularly in defence, against a Vasco team that has found wins elusive on the road but carries more attacking threat. We can expect Vasco to try and control possession, leveraging their superior ball retention and passing accuracy to probe the Chapecoense defence. The home side, likely to be on the back foot, may look to exploit transitions, but their recent drop in shots on target suggests this could be a challenge. Vasco's tendency to concede on the road means Chapecoense might find a way to score, but their overall defensive record points towards a difficult afternoon.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Chapecoense have lost 62.1% of their league games this season.
- • Vasco DA Gama have only secured one win away from home this season.
- • Chapecoense concede an average of 2.1 goals per game overall, and 2.3 at home.
AI Prediction
Vasco are the clear favourites according to the odds, and their overall season statistics, particularly their attacking output and possession, suggest they should have the edge. Despite Vasco's poor away record, Chapecoense's dire form, especially defensively, makes them vulnerable. Both teams have shown they can concede frequently, pointing towards an 'over 2.5 goals' outcome and 'both teams to score'.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U60%BTTS57%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek85% AWAYBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x237%O/U53%BTTS33%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
H2H
Team recent
Chapecoense-sc Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Mirassol | 1 - 2 | 4 | ||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 0 - 3 | 4 | ||||
HOME | Fluminense | 2 - 1 | 3 | ||||
AWAY | Botafogo | 0 - 1 | 4 | ||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 4 | 6 | ||||
AWAY | Gremio | 1 - 3 | 7 | ||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 1 - 0 | 7 | ||||
HOME | Bahia | 3 - 3 | 3 | ||||
AWAY | Coritiba | 1 - 2 | 6 | ||||
AWAY | Santos | 2 - 2 | 1 |
Chapecoense-sc find themselves in a deep hole this season, with an abysmal 62% of their overall games ending in defeat. Their home form isn't much better, having lost nearly half of their matches on home turf. While they show flashes of attacking intent, averaging 1.4 goals at home, their defence is consistently porous, conceding over two goals per game across the season. Recent form offers little respite, with two losses in their last three home outings, and a significant dip in possession and passing accuracy in their most recent home fixture.
Vasco DA Gama Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 1 | 0 | ||||
HOME | Flamengo | 1 - 4 | 6 | ||||
HOME | Corinthians | 3 - 2 | 3 | ||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 1 | 4 | ||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 3 - 1 | 11 | ||||
AWAY | Palmeiras | 1 - 4 | 3 | ||||
HOME | Santos | 0 - 3 | 4 | ||||
AWAY | Bahia | 0 - 0 | 6 | ||||
HOME | Mirassol | 1 - 1 | 9 | ||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 0 - 1 | 2 |
Vasco DA Gama present a mixed bag, particularly away from home where they've secured only one win all season. However, they do possess a more potent attack than their hosts, averaging 1.2 goals per game overall and 1.1 on the road. Their recent form has seen an upturn in fortunes, with two wins in their last three matches, though their most recent outing saw them concede three goals. Defensively, they appear vulnerable, especially in recent away games where they've shipped two goals per match, but their overall possession and passing efficiency remain strong.
Odds