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Chapecoense vs Gremio: Serie A Clash of Contrasting Fortunes
In this Serie A encounter, Chapecoense hosts Gremio in a match where recent home form for the hosts clashes with the visitors' dire away record. Expect a keenly contested affair, though the statistical trends suggest a tight contest.
This match pits Chapecoense's potent, albeit inconsistent, home attack against Gremio's defensive frailties on the road. The home side will likely aim to leverage their attacking prowess, pushing forward to exploit Gremio's struggles to keep clean sheets away from home. Gremio, conversely, will need to find a way to stem the tide, potentially adopting a more cautious approach, but their recent away performances suggest this will be a significant challenge. We might see Chapecoense trying to build attacks through wider areas, given their higher corner count, to break down a potentially deep-lying Gremio defence.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Chapecoense averages 3.5 goals per game at home this season.
- • Gremio has lost all of their away games this season, conceding 2 goals per match.
- • Both teams have shown a tendency for goals in their respective home and away fixtures, pointing towards 'Both Teams to Score: Yes' and 'Over 2.5 Goals'.
AI Prediction
Chapecoense's formidable home scoring record, averaging 3.5 goals in their two home games, provides a strong statistical advantage. Despite Gremio's poor away form, they do manage to score occasionally and have conceded multiple goals in their away fixtures, suggesting both teams will likely find the back of the net. The odds also favour a moderate-to-high scoring game. I'm backing the home side to edge it, buoyed by their home advantage and attacking threat.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65%X DRAWBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Chapecoense-sc Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Santos | 4 - 2 |
Chapecoense-sc have shown flashes of attacking intent, particularly at home where they average a healthy 3.5 goals per game. Their overall season sees them scoring and conceding two goals per match, indicating a tendency towards open games. However, their recent form has been a concern, with no wins in their last three matches, struggling to convert chances and leaking goals. Their last outing was a disappointing 0-2 loss, but the home performance in that fixture, a 3-3 draw, showed they can still create and finish.
Gremio Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Botafogo | 5 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 1 - 2 |
Gremio present a starkly different picture, especially away from home. Their overall season record is balanced in terms of wins and losses, but their away form is abysmal, with two losses from two games, scoring just 0.5 goals and conceding two per match. This pattern of poor away performance is mirrored in their last three games, where they've managed only one goal and conceded more than they've scored. The last match saw them struggle offensively, netting only once in a draw, while their discipline remains an issue with a high number of yellow cards.
Odds
Lineups
Chapecoense-sc
(4-3-3)
Gremio
(4-3-3)
Injuries / suspensions
Chapecoense-sc Injuries / suspensions
Gremio Injuries / suspensions