Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Match Events
Preview
Chapecoense vs Botafogo: Hosts Seek Stability Against Attacking Visitors in Serie A
Chapecoense faces Botafogo in a Serie A clash where the home side's draw-heavy record meets Botafogo's potent, yet porous, attack. Expect a game where Botafogo's offensive intent could be tested by Chapecoense's ability to grind out results at home, though their overall defensive struggles are stark.
This fixture pits Chapecoense's pragmatic approach, often built on a solid defensive shape and a desire to control the midfield to avoid defeat, against Botafogo's more direct and attacking philosophy. Botafogo's recent uptick in shots and goals suggests they will try to impose themselves offensively, potentially using wide overloads to break down Chapecoense. The home side will likely look to absorb pressure, perhaps employing a compact mid-block, and aim to exploit any Botafogo defensive lapses on the counter, especially given their recent high corner count which might signal set-piece opportunities.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Chapecoense have drawn 50% of their overall games and 66.7% of their home matches this season.
- • Botafogo average 1.8 goals per game but concede an average of 2.1 goals per game overall.
- • Chapecoense's last home game saw them register 25 shots, indicating a potential for offensive output.
AI Prediction
While Botafogo's away form is shaky, their potent attack and Chapecoense's defensive frailties, especially their high goals conceded average, point towards goals at both ends. Chapecoense's recent draw tendency at home, coupled with Botafogo's recent winless streak despite scoring, suggests an outcome where both sides find the net but neither can secure a decisive victory. The odds also suggest a relatively open game with reasonable value on both teams scoring.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U67%BTTS63%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google68%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Chapecoense-sc Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Vitoria | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico-MG | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Gremio | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 3 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Santos | 4 - 2 |
Chapecoense-sc have built a reputation this season for being incredibly difficult to beat, evidenced by their high draw percentage in overall and home games. They've only lost once at home in six outings, managing to secure points through resilience rather than outright dominance. However, their scoring average at home, while decent, doesn't suggest they'll blow teams away. Recent form shows a worrying lack of wins, with two draws and a loss in their last three home matches, indicating a struggle to convert pressure into victories, despite a surge in shots in their most recent outing.
Botafogo Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Coritiba | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Mirassol | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | RB Bragantino | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Palmeiras | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Flamengo | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Gremio | 3 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 4 - 0 |
Botafogo arrive as a side that certainly knows how to find the back of the net, boasting an impressive average of 1.8 goals per game across the season. Their recent form is even more encouraging on the attacking front, netting 2.3 goals in their last three. However, this attacking flair comes at a significant cost, with their defence leaking an average of 1.7 goals in their last three and 2.3 away from home. Their away record is particularly concerning, having lost four of their last six, suggesting a vulnerability when they travel, despite their ability to score on the road.
Odds
Lineups
Chapecoense-sc
(4-1-4-1)
Botafogo
(4-3-3)
