Cagliari vs Lazio - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

Cagliari

Lazio

Match Events

Yerry Mina

25'

45'

Luca Pellegrini

Zé Pedro

56'

64'

Oliver Provstgaard

Yerry Mina

85'

Yerry Mina

85'

Preview

Cagliari vs Lazio: Can hosts find form against inconsistent visitors in Serie A?

Cagliari host Lazio in a Serie A clash where the home side's recent upturn in form clashes with Lazio's unpredictable results. While the visitors possess a slightly better overall record, Cagliari's recent home performances suggest this could be a tighter contest than the stats initially imply.

This match pits Cagliari's recent home resilience against Lazio's more established, albeit inconsistent, possession-based approach. Lazio's average of over 50% ball possession suggests they will aim to control the game's rhythm, moving the ball patiently. Cagliari, despite lower overall possession stats, have shown they can be effective at home recently, potentially looking to exploit transitions when Lazio push forward. The home side's struggles with shots on target in their last game are a worry, and they will need to be more clinical to break down a Lazio defence that, while not impenetrable, is generally tighter than Cagliari's.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

Cagliari

Lazio

Matches played

7 - 7 - 11

Results

8 - 9 - 8

28%

Win %

32%

1.1

Goals scored

1.4

Goals conceded

3.4

Shots on target

3.9

4.1

Shots off target

4.7

2.5

Blocked shots

2.7

45.8

Ball possession

50.2

79.6

Pass accuracy

84.7

15.4

Fouls

10.4

3.6

Goalkeeper saves

3.4

2.3

Yellow cards

Red cards

0.3

League averages

Key points

• Cagliari's home record shows a higher concession rate (1.3 goals against per game) than their overall average, but their recent home form has seen them score significantly more (1.7 goals per game).
• Lazio's away games have a 25% win rate this season, and they've averaged less than a goal scored per away fixture.
• Both teams had a losing streak in their last overall match, conceding two goals each.

AI Prediction

The odds suggest a tight encounter, leaning slightly towards Lazio. However, Cagliari's recent home form, particularly their improved scoring and defensive solidity in their last three home games, contrasts with Lazio's inconsistent away results. Both teams have shown they can concede, and Lazio's recent fixtures have seen goals, making a 'yes' for both teams to score and an 'over' on 2.5 goals feel right. Given Lazio's struggles for away wins and Cagliari's home fight, a draw seems the most balanced outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

50%

BTTS

30%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Serie A H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/3/2025	Cagliari	L 0 - 2 W	Lazio HOME	U	N
2/3/2025	HOME Cagliari	L 1 - 2 W	Lazio	O	Y
11/4/2024	Cagliari	L 1 - 2 W	Lazio HOME	O	Y
2/10/2024	HOME Cagliari	L 1 - 3 W	Lazio	O	Y
12/2/2023	Cagliari	L 0 - 1 W	Lazio HOME	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Cagliari

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Lecce	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	AS Roma	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Verona	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Fiorentina	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Juventus	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Genoa	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Cremonese	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	AC Milan	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Torino	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Pisa	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N

Cagliari have endured a tough season overall, sitting below the halfway mark with more losses than wins. Their home record is particularly concerning, conceding more than they score and losing over 40% of games. However, recent form offers a glimmer of hope; their last three home matches saw them secure two wins with an improved scoring output, including a strong 1.7 goals per game. This suggests a potential resurgence, though their last outing was a dismal 0-2 defeat where they failed to register a shot on target.

Lazio

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Atalanta	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Juventus	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Genoa	3 - 2	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Lecce	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Como	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Verona	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Fiorentina	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Napoli	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Udinese	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Cremonese	0 - 0	D	U	N	N

Lazio have had a middling campaign in Serie A, balancing wins and losses with a high number of draws, particularly away from home. Their overall scoring and conceding averages are identical, indicating a team that can both find the net and be breached. While their away form shows a tendency to draw, they've struggled for wins on the road, scoring less than a goal per game on average. Recent form is mixed, with a recent winless streak in their last three overall games, though they did manage a 2-2 draw in their most recent fixture. Their away form in the last three shows an improvement in scoring, but also a concerning concession rate.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

3.5

DRAW

2.9

AWAY

2.35

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.62

UNDER

1.5

BTTS

YES

2.1

1.67

Lineups

Cagliari

(4-4-2)

Elia Caprile

Adam Obert

Alberto Dossena

Yerry Mina

Zé Pedro

Ibrahim Sulemana

Luca Mazzitelli

Michel Adopo

Marco Palestra

Sebastiano Esposito

Semih Kılıçsoy

Mattia Zaccagni

Daniel Maldini

Gustav Isaksen

Kenneth Taylor

Nicolò Rovella

Reda Belahyane

Luca Pellegrini

Oliver Provstgaard

Alessio Romagnoli

Adam Marušić

Ivan Provedel

Lazio

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

Cagliari

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Belotti	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 0
G. Borrelli	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	4 / 1
A. Deiola	Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
M. Felici	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
M. Folorunsho	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 0
G. Gaetano	Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 4

Lazio

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
T. Basic	Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
S. Gigot	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Gila	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
M. Zaccagni	Abdominal strain	Questionable	3 / 0
M. Lazzari	Calf Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
Pedro	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	3 / 1
Patric	Sprained ankle	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

Cagliari vs Lazio AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

Cagliari vs Lazio: Can hosts find form against inconsistent visitors in Serie A?

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Cagliari Team recent

Lazio Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Cagliari

Lazio

Injuries / suspensions

Cagliari Injuries / suspensions

Lazio Injuries / suspensions

League table