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Bologna vs Parma: Can the Rossoblù Stem Their Bleeding at Home?
Bologna hosts Parma in Serie A, with the home side desperate to halt a concerning recent slide. Parma, meanwhile, will look to exploit any lingering fragility in the Rossoblù's defence.
This fixture pits Bologna's possession-based approach against a Parma side that also likes to keep the ball, albeit with less success. The home team's season-long average possession is over 55%, but their recent defensive collapses suggest their structure has been compromised. Parma's recent away form, though not spectacular, has seen them earn points, and they might look to exploit Bologna's current defensive frailty. Bologna's recent struggles, particularly their high concession rate, indicate issues with their transitional defending and potentially a lack of intensity in their pressing, which Parma could try to bypass with quick vertical passes.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Bologna have lost their last three matches, conceding an average of 2.7 goals.
- • Parma's away win rate stands at 27.3% for the season.
- • The odds favour Bologna, indicating the market expects them to win.
AI Prediction
Despite Bologna's dreadful recent form and concerning home record, the underlying season statistics and the odds suggest they should still have enough to overcome Parma. The visitors also ship goals and have struggled for consistent scoring. Bologna's possession game and higher average goal threat should eventually tell, though their defensive issues mean Parma are likely to get on the scoresheet too.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x257%O/U43%BTTS43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS70%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Bologna Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | AC Milan | 0 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Genoa | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Fiorentina | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Verona | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Como | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atalanta | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Inter | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Sassuolo | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Juventus | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Lazio | 1 - 1 |
Bologna's season stats paint a picture of a side that can compete, averaging over a goal scored and conceding just above one per game. However, their home form has been particularly underwhelming, with more losses than wins and a scoring rate dipping below their season average. Crucially, their last three matches have been disastrous, conceding a staggering 2.7 goals per game and losing all of them, a stark contrast to their generally solid underlying numbers. Their most recent outing was a 3-0 defeat, highlighting a severe dip in defensive solidity and attacking threat.
Parma Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Juventus | 1 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Atalanta | 0 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Genoa | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Napoli | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Lecce | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Inter | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sassuolo | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Lazio | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Pisa | 1 - 0 |
Parma's overall season statistics suggest a team that struggles for wins, with a negative goal difference and a win percentage below 25%. They tend to concede more than they score, and their home record is particularly poor. Despite this, their away form shows a slightly better win rate and a more balanced record than their home games, although they still concede more than they score. In their last three outings, Parma have shown a mixed bag, drawing one and losing two, while scoring a meagre 0.3 goals per game, though their final match saw them concede four.
Odds
Lineups
Bologna
(4-3-3)
Parma
(3-5-2)
Injuries / suspensions
Bologna Injuries / suspensions
Parma Injuries / suspensions