Bahia vs Gremio - AI Match Preview

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Brazil Serie A

Bahia

Gremio

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Preview

Bahia vs Gremio: Hosts Eyeing Home Advantage in Serie A Clash

Bahia hosts Gremio in a Serie A fixture that pits the home side's decent scoring record against Gremio's recent defensive solidity. While Bahia has shown attacking promise, Gremio's attritional form on the road could make this a tight contest.

Bahia will likely aim to leverage their home advantage and possession statistics to build attacks, potentially employing a patient build-up through the midfield. Their average of 5.4 corners per home game suggests they'll probe for set-piece opportunities. Gremio, on the other hand, will probably adopt a more compact defensive shape, looking to frustrate the hosts and perhaps catch them on a swift transition, though their recent attacking output doesn't inspire much confidence in that regard. The hosts' higher average shot volume might find more joy against Gremio's struggling away defence.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A

Bahia

Gremio

Matches played

6 - 4 - 4

Results

4 - 5 - 6

42.9%

Win %

26.7%

1.4

Goals scored

1.3

Goals conceded

1.1

5.3

Shots on target

3.7

4.6

Shots off target

4.5

3.1

Blocked shots

3.7

52.8

Ball possession

50.6

84.6

Pass accuracy

14.1

Fouls

13.1

4.1

Goalkeeper saves

2.9

2.2

Yellow cards

2.2

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Bahia averages 1.6 goals per home game this season.
• Gremio has failed to win any of their 8 away matches, scoring just 0.5 goals per game.
• Bahia's recent home form shows 2 losses in their last 3 matches.

AI Prediction

Bahia's home scoring average and possession dominance, coupled with Gremio's abysmal away record and lack of goals, point towards a home win. While Gremio has recently improved defensively, their offensive struggles are too significant to ignore. The odds suggest a slight favouritism towards the home side, which aligns with the statistical overview.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

30%

O/U

60%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

63%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

68%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 UNDER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

80%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

33%

O/U

70%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
10/19/2025	HOME Bahia	W 4 - 0 L	Gremio	O	N
5/25/2025	Bahia	L 0 - 1 W	Gremio AWAY	U	N
8/17/2024	Bahia	W 2 - 0 L	Gremio AWAY	U	N
4/28/2024	HOME Bahia	W 1 - 0 L	Gremio	U	N
11/4/2023	Bahia	L 0 - 1 W	Gremio AWAY	U	N
7/1/2023	HOME Bahia	L 1 - 2 W	Gremio	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Bahia

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Sao Paulo	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
HOME	Santos	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Flamengo	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Mirassol	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Palmeiras	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	Atletico Paranaense	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	Remo	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
HOME	RB Bragantino	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Internacional	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

Bahia have demonstrated a capacity to find the net, averaging 1.6 goals at home over the season. However, their overall home form is somewhat inconsistent, with an equal number of wins, draws, and losses in their last seven home fixtures. Recent form suggests they are struggling to convert that possession into victories, having lost two of their last three home games, conceding two goals in each. Despite this, they still average over a goal per game and maintain healthy possession figures.

Gremio

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Flamengo	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Atletico Paranaense	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Coritiba	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Internacional	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Remo	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Palmeiras	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Vitoria	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Gremio's away form is a stark contrast to their home record. They are yet to secure a victory away from home this season, drawing three and losing five of their eight matches. Their scoring output has been particularly concerning, netting just 0.5 goals per away game. However, their recent trend shows a tightening up defensively, with only one goal conceded in their last three away matches, despite a concerning lack of attacking threat. The last outing saw them dominate possession (62%) but fail to score, ending 0-0.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.8

DRAW

3.75

AWAY

4.33

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.85

UNDER

1.95

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.95

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palmeiras	14	10	3	1	24	11	13	33	DWWDW
2	Flamengo	13	8	3	2	26	12	14	27	DWWWW
3	Fluminense	15	8	3	4	25	20	5	27	DLWWL
4	Sao Paulo	14	7	3	4	19	13	6	24	DWLLW
5	Atletico Paranaense	14	7	2	5	20	15	5	23	DWLWL
6	Bahia	14	6	4	4	20	18	2	22	LDDLW
7	RB Bragantino	14	6	2	6	17	16	1	20	WLWLW
8	Coritiba	15	5	5	5	18	19	-1	20	DLLWD
9	Vitoria	14	5	4	5	18	20	-2	19	DWLDW
10	Cruzeiro	15	5	4	6	20	25	-5	19	WLWWW
11	Botafogo	14	5	3	6	26	27	-1	18	DLDWD
12	Atletico-MG	15	5	3	7	18	21	-3	18	DWLLL
13	Internacional	15	4	6	5	16	16	0	18	DWDLD
14	Vasco DA Gama	14	4	5	5	20	21	-1	17	DLWDL
15	Gremio	14	4	5	5	15	16	-1	17	DWLDD
16	Santos	14	3	6	5	19	22	-3	15	DDLWL
17	Corinthians	14	3	6	5	10	13	-3	15	LWDDL
18	Mirassol	13	3	3	7	15	19	-4	12	WLWLL
19	Remo	14	2	5	7	15	24	-9	11	WLLDD
20	Chapecoense-sc	13	1	5	7	13	26	-13	8	LLLLD

Bahia vs Gremio AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Bahia vs Gremio: Hosts Eyeing Home Advantage in Serie A Clash

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Bahia Team recent

Gremio Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

League table