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Bahia vs Botafogo: Can Hosts Stem the Tide in Serie A?
Bahia hosts Botafogo in a Serie A fixture that pits a side struggling for wins at home against a Botafogo team that has found its away form. Expect a contest where Bahia will look to assert their possession-based style, while Botafogo aims to exploit transitions.
This match is likely to see Bahia attempting to control the game through their superior ball possession, aiming to build attacks methodically. Their average of 55.4% possession at home suggests they'll try to set the rhythm. However, Botafogo's recent away performances, where they've shown an ability to score and maintain a decent defensive structure despite lower possession, indicates they could be dangerous on the counter. Bahia's recent defensive frailties, conceding an average of 2 goals in their last three games, might offer Botafogo opportunities to exploit spaces.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Bahia has drawn 50% of their home games this season.
- • Botafogo has scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game this season.
- • Bahia's last 3 games have seen an average of 2 goals conceded.
AI Prediction
Bahia's home advantage and superior ball possession, coupled with Botafogo's strong recent away scoring record, suggest a game where both sides will find the net. While Bahia's recent winless streak is a concern, their ability to secure draws at home and Botafogo's slightly porous away defence make a home win the most plausible outcome, albeit a narrow one.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
Bahia Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Coritiba | 2 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Gremio | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cruzeiro | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 2 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Santos | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Flamengo | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Mirassol | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Palmeiras | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 3 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Remo | 1 - 4 |
Bahia's season has been a mixed bag, with their overall record showing an even split of wins, draws, and losses. At home, they've struggled to convert possession into victories, managing only two wins from eight games, often drawing their way to a point. While they maintain a healthy average of 1.5 goals scored at home, their defence has been leakier than away, conceding 1.1 per game. Recent form shows a concerning trend, with no wins in their last three overall, and two draws followed by a loss in their last three home outings.
Botafogo Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico-MG | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Remo | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Internacional | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 4 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Mirassol | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 4 |
Botafogo presents a more convincing recent picture, particularly on the road where they've secured three wins in nine matches, averaging a solid 1.7 goals scored. Their overall season stats show a similar win-loss ratio to Bahia, but their away defence, though conceding 1.9 goals on average, has been tighter than Bahia's home backline. The recent form for Botafogo is encouraging, remaining unbeaten in their last three matches with two draws and a win, and notably, they've managed to score two goals in each of their last three away games.
Odds
Lineups
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.