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Brazil Serie A
Atletico Paranaense logo
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol logo
Mirassol

Preview

Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol: Hosts Look to Consolidate Home Strength in Serie A

Atletico Paranaense host Mirassol in Serie A, with the home side boasting a formidable record at their own ground. Mirassol have struggled on the road, and despite a recent win, face a stern test against a team that generally controls proceedings at home.

Atletico Paranaense's home advantage is likely to be built on their ability to impose their attacking game, creating more chances and keeping possession in the opposition half. They tend to be more direct at home, evidenced by a higher shots-on-goal count. Mirassol, conversely, may look to leverage their slightly higher average possession on the road to build attacks patiently, but their recent away struggles suggest their compact defensive shape might be tested. The home side's ability to generate a high volume of shots, especially in recent home games, indicates they will aim to tilt the flow of play their way from the outset.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A
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Team Stats Comparison

Home Team Matches
Away Team Matches
Atletico Paranaense
VS
Mirassol
17
Matches played
16
8 - 3 - 6
Results
4 - 4 - 8
47.1%
Win %
25%
1.4
Goals scored
1.1
1.1
Goals conceded
1.4
5
Shots on target
4.8
4.6
Shots off target
6.1
2.5
Blocked shots
3.4
48.4
Ball possession
51.4
82.4
Pass accuracy
83.7
14.5
Fouls
12.8
2.3
Goalkeeper saves
3.1
2.2
Yellow cards
2.6
0.1
Red cards
0.1
League averages

Key points

  • • Atletico Paranaense have won 66.7% of their home games this season, scoring an average of 1.8 goals.
  • • Mirassol have lost 71.4% of their away matches this season, averaging just 1 goal per game.
  • • The odds suggest a home win is the most probable outcome, with Atletico Paranaense at 1.8.

AI Prediction

Atletico Paranaense's dominant home record, where they score significantly more and concede fewer goals, presents a substantial challenge for Mirassol. The visitors' poor away form and low scoring rate on the road suggest they will struggle to overcome this. While Mirassol’s last away win and their overall possession stats offer a glimmer of hope, the underlying numbers heavily favour the hosts. The odds also reflect this, with Atletico Paranaense being clear favourites.

  • AI
    Confidence
    Pick
    Recent Win% (20)
  • google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite
    gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)
    by google
    70%
    Atletico Paranaense HOME
    BTTS YES
    2.5 UNDER
    1x2
    47%
    O/U
    53%
    BTTS
    57%

H2H

Serie A
No head-to-head data available.
Includes records from 2023 onwards.
Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Atletico Paranaense Team recent

Atletico Paranaense logo
Atletico Paranaense
Home Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
AWAY
Remo2 - 1WOYY
HOME
Flamengo1 - 1DUYY
AWAY
Vasco DA Gama0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Gremio0 - 0DUNY
HOME
Vitoria3 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Palmeiras0 - 1LUNN
HOME
Chapecoense-sc2 - 0WUNY
AWAY
Atletico-MG1 - 2LOYY
AWAY
Bahia0 - 3LONN
HOME
Botafogo4 - 1WOYN

Atletico Paranaense have established themselves as a strong unit at home this season, securing two-thirds of their league victories on familiar turf. Their home performances are characterised by a higher average of goals scored and a notably tighter defence, conceding less than a goal per game. While their overall season form has been mixed, with a balanced win-loss record, their recent home fixtures show an undefeated streak over the last three, albeit with a couple of draws. They generate a significant volume of shots at home, suggesting they are proactive in their attacking approach.

Mirassol Team recent

Mirassol logo
Mirassol
Away Team Matches
Match dateH/AVSScoreResultsO/U 2.5BTTSCor 9.5
HOME
Fluminense1 - 0WUNN
AWAY
Atletico-MG1 - 3LOYY
HOME
Chapecoense-sc1 - 1DUYY
HOME
Corinthians2 - 1WOYN
AWAY
Sao Paulo0 - 1LUNN
AWAY
Internacional2 - 1WOYN
HOME
Bahia1 - 2LOYY
HOME
RB Bragantino0 - 1LUNY
AWAY
Botafogo2 - 3LOYY
AWAY
Vitoria0 - 1LUNY

Mirassol has found life on the road tough, with a heavy loss percentage and a clear deficit in goals scored compared to those conceded. Their away goals tally is particularly low, highlighting issues in breaking down opposition defences. Although they managed a victory in their very last away outing, this followed a string of defeats, and their overall away form remains concerning. Despite controlling possession away from home more often than not, this hasn't translated into consistent results, and their recent away form indicates a struggle to maintain defensive solidity.

O
Over
U
Under
Y
Yes
N
No

Odds

1x2
Atletico Paranaense
HOME
1.8
DRAW
3.6
Mirassol
AWAY
4.5
2.5 OVER/UNDER
OVER
2.15
UNDER
1.67
BTTS
YES
2
NO
1.75

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Brazil Serie A
#TeamPlayedWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Palmeiras17115129131638WDDDW
2Flamengo1694328161231LDWDW
3Fluminense179352722530LWDLW
4Atletico Paranaense178362318527WDLDW
5RB Bragantino178272218426WWLWL
6Sao Paulo177462319425DLLDW
7Coritiba166552119223WDLLW
8Bahia156542119223DLDDL
9Cruzeiro176562327-423WDWLW
10Botafogo166463029122DWDLD
11Vitoria166462022-222WLDWL
12Atletico-MG176382123-221LWDWL
13Internacional175662019121LWDWD
14Gremio175661920-121WDLDW
15Corinthians175661518-321WLWLW
16Vasco DA Gama175572228-620LLWDL
17Santos174672328-518LLWDD
18Mirassol164481823-516WLDWL
19Remo173682029-915LWDWL
20Chapecoense-sc161691732-159LLDLL
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