Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio - AI Match Preview

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Brazil Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

Gremio

Match Events

K. Viveros

20'

L. Esquivel

33'

72'

Riquelme

O. Hellmann

78'

G. Benavidez

84'

Riquelme

84'

Riquelme

Preview

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio: Hosts Aim to Extend Dominance in Serie A

Atletico Paranaense, in formidable home form, host a struggling Gremio side in Serie A. The home team's recent scoring spree and defensive solidity at home suggest they will dictate terms against a Gremio outfit that has found wins elusive on the road.

Atletico Paranaense's home performance data points towards an aggressive, possession-based approach, as evidenced by their 54.3% average ball possession and high shot volume at home. They will likely look to build from the back and utilize their attacking width to break down Gremio. The visitors, meanwhile, have shown a tendency to concede multiple goals on the road and have been defensively brittle in recent away matches. Gremio's recent struggles, particularly in their last away game where they conceded two and failed to score, suggest they may adopt a more defensive posture, aiming to frustrate the hosts, but their away record indicates this approach has rarely yielded positive results.

Team statistics

Brazil Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

Gremio

Matches played

7 - 1 - 5

Results

4 - 4 - 5

53.8%

Win %

30.8%

1.5

Goals scored

1.2

Goals conceded

1.2

4.8

Shots on target

4.1

4.5

Shots off target

4.6

2.5

Blocked shots

49.2

Ball possession

51.7

82.7

Pass accuracy

15.6

Fouls

13.4

2.3

Goalkeeper saves

2.7

2.2

Yellow cards

2.3

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Atletico Paranaense have won 85.7% of their home games this season, scoring an average of 2.1 goals.
• Gremio have lost 71.4% of their away matches, managing only 0.6 goals per game on average.
• Atletico Paranaense's last three home games saw them score 3 goals per match.

AI Prediction

Atletico Paranaense's overwhelming home advantage, coupled with their potent attack and solid defence, makes them strong favourites. Gremio's dire away record and recent scoring drought suggest they will struggle to contain the hosts. While the visitors have shown they can score in their last outing, their overall away performance indicates a defensive fragility that Atletico Paranaense will likely exploit, leading to a comfortable home win with goals at both ends.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

50%

BTTS

57%
deepseek-v3.2 (id)

by deepseek

85%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

50%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Serie A H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
8/4/2024	HOME Atletico Paranaense	L 0 - 2 W	Gremio	U	N
4/17/2024	Atletico Paranaense	L 0 - 2 W	Gremio HOME	U	N
10/18/2023	Atletico Paranaense	W 2 - 1 L	Gremio HOME	O	Y
5/27/2023	HOME Atletico Paranaense	L 1 - 2 W	Gremio	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Atletico Paranaense

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Vitoria	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Palmeiras	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Atletico-MG	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Bahia	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Botafogo	4 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Coritiba	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Fluminense	2 - 3	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	RB Bragantino	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y

Atletico Paranaense have been in blistering form at home this season, boasting an impressive 85.7% win rate. They are averaging over two goals scored per home game while conceding less than one, highlighting a significant defensive strength. Their last three home matches have seen them score an average of three goals, culminating in a dominant 3-1 victory in their most recent outing. This consistency suggests a team that is confident and effective on familiar turf.

Gremio

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Coritiba	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Internacional	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
HOME	Remo	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Palmeiras	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Vitoria	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	RB Bragantino	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Atletico-MG	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y

Gremio's away form presents a stark contrast, with an alarming 71.4% loss rate on the road this season. They've struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just 0.6 goals per away fixture, while shipping 1.6. Recent performances offer little respite; they've lost their last three away games, failing to score in two of those encounters, including a 2-0 defeat in their last road trip. This suggests a team struggling to impose itself away from home.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.75

DRAW

3.6

AWAY

4.75

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.05

UNDER

1.75

BTTS

YES

1.95

1.8

Lineups