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Atletico-MG vs Mirassol: Hosts Seek Home Advantage in Serie A Encounter
Atletico-MG hosts Mirassol in a Serie A clash. The home side has shown resilience at home, aiming to build on that against a Mirassol side that struggles on the road, though both teams have shown inconsistency in recent weeks.
This fixture pits Atletico-MG's slightly more potent home attack against Mirassol's defensive frailties on the road. The home side will likely try to leverage their higher average shots on goal and corner count at home to assert pressure. Mirassol, despite their possession statistics, have struggled to create clear-cut chances away from home and often concede more than they score. We might see Atletico-MG employing a patient build-up, looking to exploit Mirassol's vulnerability to conceding goals, while Mirassol will hope to disrupt with their higher foul count and perhaps catch the hosts on a transition, although their recent away form suggests this is unlikely.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Atletico-MG has won 42.9% of their home games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals.
- • Mirassol has lost 66.7% of their away games, scoring only 1 goal per match on average.
- • Despite decent possession, Mirassol's recent away form shows a concerning drop in scoring and an increase in goals conceded.
AI Prediction
Atletico-MG's home form, while not stellar, is significantly better than Mirassol's away record. The home side's ability to generate shots and score at home, combined with Mirassol's poor away results and recent defensive struggles, points towards a home win. However, both teams have shown a tendency to concede, making 'Both Teams to Score' a reasonable shout, though the overall scoring might be contained given Mirassol's offensive struggles away from home. The odds also favour the home side, reinforcing this prediction.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google65%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama75% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama65% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai68% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai72% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Atletico-MG Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Botafogo | 1 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cruzeiro | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Flamengo | 0 - 4 | |||||
AWAY | Coritiba | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Santos | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Atletico Paranaense | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Chapecoense-sc | 4 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Fluminense | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Sao Paulo | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 0 - 2 |
Atletico-MG's season has been a mixed bag, marked by more losses than wins overall. However, their home record offers a glimmer of hope, with a respectable win percentage and a decent scoring rate, though they do concede more than a goal per game. Recent form has been somewhat flat, with a win, draw, and loss in their last three, and their last home outing ended in a draw where they scored just one. Despite their struggles, they still manage to generate a decent volume of shots, particularly on target in their most recent home fixture.
Mirassol Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Corinthians | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sao Paulo | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Internacional | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Bahia | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | RB Bragantino | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Botafogo | 2 - 3 | |||||
AWAY | Vitoria | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Coritiba | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 |
Mirassol's overall campaign has been hampered by a high number of defeats, particularly away from home where they have a stark losing record. While their recent form has seen them pick up a win, they have also suffered two losses, conceding almost two goals in their last three away fixtures. Their last away match was a particularly poor showing, with no goals scored and a heavy defeat, highlighting their offensive struggles on the road. Despite a tendency to dominate possession, they often lack the cutting edge to convert that into decisive results.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.