Atalanta vs Bologna - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

Atalanta

Bologna

Preview Team statistics AI Prediction H2H Team recent Odds Lineups Injuries / suspensions League table

Preview

Atalanta vs Bologna: Hosts Aim to Secure European Spot at Home

In the final matchday of Serie A, Atalanta hosts Bologna in a crucial encounter where the home side will be looking to solidify their European qualification. While Bologna has shown strong away form, Atalanta's home record and overall season performance give them an edge, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair.

This fixture pits Atalanta's possession-based approach against Bologna's potent away-day counter-attacking threat. Atalanta typically dominates the ball, aiming to build attacks through patient passing and utilizing wide areas as indicated by their high corner count. Bologna, especially away from home, will likely adopt a more pragmatic approach, seeking to exploit transitional moments and the space left by Atalanta's attacking structure. The hosts' recent home scoring drought, contrasted with Bologna's recent away goal glut, suggests the visitors might be tempted to push higher, potentially leaving them vulnerable to Atalanta's ability to draw fouls and win set-pieces.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

Atalanta

Bologna

Matches played

15 - 13 - 8

Results

15 - 7 - 14

41.7%

Win %

41.7%

1.4

Goals scored

1.3

0.9

Goals conceded

1.2

4.7

Shots on target

3.8

5.8

Shots off target

5.9

4.4

Blocked shots

3.3

55.3

Ball possession

55.4

83.9

Pass accuracy

82.2

11.7

Fouls

13.3

3.1

Goalkeeper saves

2.5

1.6

Yellow cards

1.8

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Atalanta boasts a strong home record this season, winning 50% of their league matches at home.
• Bologna's away form is impressive, with a 50% win rate and averaging 1.6 goals scored per game on the road.
• Both teams showed attacking intent in their last matches, scoring 3 goals each, suggesting an open game.

AI Prediction

Atalanta's superior overall season performance and strong home record give them the slight edge, despite Bologna's impressive away form. The odds favour the hosts, and their ability to control possession and create chances should see them edge this one. Given both teams' recent attacking outputs, particularly Bologna's on the road, a match with goals at both ends and exceeding 2.5 total goals seems highly probable.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

60%

BTTS

43%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

30%

O/U

63%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

57%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)

by google

65%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

60%

BTTS

50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)

by meta-llama

75%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

33%

O/U

70%

BTTS

60%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)

by meta-llama

70%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

60%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)

by openai

68%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

37%

O/U

63%

BTTS

57%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

60%

BTTS

53%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)

by x-ai

72%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

70%

BTTS

53%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
1/7/2026	Atalanta	W 2 - 0 L	Bologna AWAY	U	N
4/13/2025	HOME Atalanta	W 2 - 0 L	Bologna	U	N
2/4/2025	HOME Atalanta	L 0 - 1 W	Bologna	U	N
9/28/2024	Atalanta	D 1 - 1 D	Bologna AWAY	U	Y
3/3/2024	HOME Atalanta	L 1 - 2 W	Bologna	O	Y
12/23/2023	Atalanta	L 0 - 1 W	Bologna AWAY	U	N

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Atalanta

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	AC Milan	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Genoa	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cagliari	2 - 3	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	AS Roma	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Juventus	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Lecce	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Verona	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Inter	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Udinese	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Sassuolo	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y

Atalanta have enjoyed a solid season, finishing with a respectable 1.4 goals scored and conceding just 0.9 per game on average across 36 league outings. Their home form has been particularly strong, with 50% of their home fixtures resulting in victories and a slightly better defensive record at home, conceding only 0.8. Despite a mixed recent run of one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three overall, their home form in that period saw them score just 0.3 per game, though their last home match ended in a draw with a significant 21 shots. However, their overall season statistics paint a picture of a team that can consistently create chances and maintain possession.

Bologna

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Napoli	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Cagliari	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
HOME	AS Roma	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Juventus	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Lecce	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cremonese	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Lazio	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Sassuolo	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Verona	1 - 2	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Pisa	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

Bologna have also had a commendable season, mirroring Atalanta's 1.3 goals scored per game but conceding slightly more at 1.2. Their away form has been their strong suit, achieving a 50% win rate on the road, scoring an impressive 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.3. Their recent form has been a stark contrast to their home performances; while their last three home games saw a meagre 0.7 goals scored, their last three away matches have yielded 1.7 goals per game. Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-2 away victory, showcasing their attacking capability on the road.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.62

DRAW

4.2

AWAY

4.75

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.67

UNDER

2.2

BTTS

YES

1.7

2.05

Lineups

Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

Atalanta vs Bologna AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Preview

Atalanta vs Bologna: Hosts Aim to Secure European Spot at Home

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Atalanta Team recent

Bologna Team recent

Odds

Injuries / suspensions

League table