Share on X to get a 7-day premium benefit!
Preview
AS Roma vs Genoa: Giallorossi Aim to Reassert Dominance at Home
AS Roma host Genoa in Serie A, with the home side looking to bounce back from a recent dip in form. Genoa, meanwhile, arrive with a more encouraging recent spell, particularly away from home, setting up an intriguing tactical battle.
This fixture pits Roma's consistent possession-based approach against Genoa's more opportunistic recent attacking surges. Roma will likely aim to dominate the ball and probe for openings, leveraging their higher shot volume. Genoa, buoyed by their recent goalscoring, may look to exploit transitional moments, especially given Roma's vulnerability in their last match. The home side's ability to maintain a compact shape and limit counter-attacks will be crucial, while Genoa will need to be clinical with their chances, as they tend to generate fewer shots overall.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • AS Roma have won 62.5% of their overall matches this season.
- • Genoa's recent away form shows an increased scoring threat, averaging 2.3 goals in their last three away games.
- • Roma's overall defensive record is strong, conceding only 0.6 goals per game on average.
AI Prediction
While Genoa's recent form, especially away, has been surprisingly strong offensively, AS Roma's overall season performance and home advantage still make them the favourite. The odds align with this, suggesting a home win is most likely. However, Genoa's recent scoring spree and Roma's vulnerability in their last match suggest this won't be a clean sheet, leading to a 'yes' for BTTS, but Roma's overall defensive solidity should keep the total goals under 2.5.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U60%BTTS50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U63%BTTS57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x250%O/U70%BTTS53%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U63%BTTS60%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (vi)by google72%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x257%O/U50%BTTS57%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U47%BTTS50%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U53%BTTS47%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (nl)by meta-llama80%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U47%BTTS57%
llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U37%BTTS50%
phi-4-multimodal-instruct (id)by microsoft85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U50%BTTS60%
mistral-nemo (de)by mistralai85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U40%BTTS50%
gpt-oss-120b:exacto (tr)by openai71%
AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x253%O/U47%BTTS40%
qwen-turbo (th)by qwen85%
HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U43%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U67%BTTS47%
grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai82%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x253%O/U57%BTTS57%
H2H
Team recent
AS Roma Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Juventus | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Como | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Napoli | 0 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cremonese | 3 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Udinese | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | AC Milan | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Parma | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Sassuolo | 1 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Inter | 0 - 1 |
AS Roma have built their season on a solid foundation, boasting a strong home record with a win percentage well over 60%. They typically control possession and generate a healthy number of shots. However, their recent form has shown a concerning slide, with two losses in their last three outings, conceding more goals than usual. This slight dip, especially their last outing where they were outplayed offensively and defensively, raises questions about their current consistency despite their overall strong season.
Genoa Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Atalanta | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Inter | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Udinese | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Verona | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cagliari | 3 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Fiorentina | 2 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cremonese | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Torino | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Parma | 0 - 0 |
Genoa presents a stark contrast in the league standings, with a heavy reliance on draws and a high loss rate overall. Yet, their recent performances have been more encouraging, particularly their last three games where they've shown an improved attacking output, scoring over two goals per game on average. Their away form in the last three has been particularly potent, suggesting they can be a threat on the road, even if their overall season stats paint a more defensive picture.
Odds
AS Roma
(3-4-2-1)
Genoa
(3-5-2)
Injuries / suspensions
AS Roma Injuries / suspensions
Genoa Injuries / suspensions
