AS Roma vs Cagliari - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

AS Roma

Cagliari

Match Events

Alberto Dossena

D. Malen

25'

40'

Marco Palestra

Gianluca Mancini

58'

61'

Gianluca Gaetano

D. Malen

65'

Bryan Zaragoza

82'

89'

Riyad Idrissi

Preview

AS Roma vs Cagliari: Giallorossi Look to Consolidate Home Strength

AS Roma host Cagliari in Serie A, with the home side in strong form and boasting an impressive defensive record at home. Cagliari arrive on the back of a significant victory but face a stern test against a Roma team that dominates possession and rarely concedes in front of their own fans.

This fixture pits Roma's metronomic possession-based game against Cagliari's potentially high-risk, high-reward recent surge. Expect Roma to try and set the rhythm of the game through sustained ball retention, particularly in the opposition half, utilising their superior passing accuracy. Cagliari, despite their recent attacking improvements, will likely be forced into a more reactive stance, potentially looking to hit Roma on transitional moments. However, Roma's formidable home defence, which has been particularly stingy all season, will be a significant hurdle for any attacking ambitions Cagliari might harbour.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

AS Roma

Cagliari

Matches played

14 - 1 - 8

Results

7 - 7 - 9

60.9%

Win %

30.4%

1.2

Goals scored

1.2

0.6

Goals conceded

1.3

4.9

Shots on target

3.6

Shots off target

3.7

Blocked shots

2.6

58.2

Ball possession

45.2

83.3

Pass accuracy

79.6

14.5

Fouls

15.5

Goalkeeper saves

3.7

1.9

Yellow cards

2.3

Red cards

League averages

Key points

• AS Roma boast a strong home win percentage and concede less than one goal per game on average at home.
• Cagliari have won their last three matches, scoring 2.3 goals per game in that period, but conceded an average of 2 goals per game away in their last three.
• Roma's possession numbers are consistently high, indicating their control of matches.

AI Prediction

Roma's exceptional home record and defensive solidity are the deciding factors here. While Cagliari's recent form is encouraging, their away defensive record and overall season performance suggest they will struggle to break down a well-drilled Giallorossi side. The odds favour Roma, aligning with the statistical picture of a dominant home team against a team with a less convincing away record, even with recent positive results.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

78%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

23%

O/U

47%

BTTS

47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
12/7/2025	AS Roma	L 0 - 1 W	Cagliari AWAY	U	N
3/16/2025	HOME AS Roma	W 1 - 0 L	Cagliari	U	N
8/18/2024	AS Roma	D 0 - 0 D	Cagliari AWAY	U	N
2/5/2024	HOME AS Roma	W 4 - 0 L	Cagliari	O	N
10/8/2023	AS Roma	W 4 - 1 L	Cagliari AWAY	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

AS Roma

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Udinese	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	AC Milan	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Torino	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Sassuolo	2 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Lecce	2 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Atalanta	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Genoa	3 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Juventus	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	Como	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cagliari	0 - 1	L	U	N	N

AS Roma have built their campaign on a solid foundation, particularly at home. Across the season, they've secured over 60% of their points at the Stadio Olimpico, averaging more than a goal scored and conceding less than one goal per game. This home advantage is further amplified by recent form, where their last three home fixtures saw them score an impressive seven goals while conceding only one. Their last outing, a 1-1 draw, maintained their unbeaten streak at home in that short period, showcasing a consistent ability to control matches with high possession and passing accuracy.

Cagliari

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Verona	4 - 0	W	O	N	Y
AWAY	Fiorentina	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Juventus	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Genoa	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
AWAY	Cremonese	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	AC Milan	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Torino	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Pisa	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
AWAY	Atalanta	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	AS Roma	1 - 0	W	U	N	N

Cagliari find themselves in a curious position. While their overall season stats show a tendency to concede more than they score and a losing record on the road, their most recent form is a stark contrast. They've won their last three matches across all competitions, scoring freely in the process, including a dominant 4-0 home victory in their very last game. However, this recent surge, particularly away from home in their last 3 games, saw them concede more goals than they did in their previous 12 away matches combined, suggesting potential defensive frailties when pushing forward.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.48

DRAW

4.1

AWAY

7.5

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.2

UNDER

1.67

BTTS

YES

2.25

1.57

Lineups

AS Roma

(3-4-2-1)

Mile Svilar

Daniele Ghilardi

Evan Ndicka

Gianluca Mancini

Wesley

Niccolò Pisilli

Bryan Cristante

Zeki Çelik

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Matías Soulé

Donyell Malen

Sebastiano Esposito

Semih Kılıçsoy

Adam Obert

Luca Mazzitelli

Gianluca Gaetano

Michel Adopo

Marco Palestra

Juan Rodríguez

Alberto Dossena

Zé Pedro

Elia Caprile

Cagliari

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

AS Roma

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
E. Bove	heart problems	Missing Fixture	- / -
A. Dovbyk	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	3 / 1
P. Dybala	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 2
E. Ferguson	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	3 / 2
S. El Shaarawy	Achilles Tendon Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 2
B. Zaragoza	Inactive	Missing Fixture	0 / 1
M. Hermoso	Hip Injury	Missing Fixture	1 / 0
M. Kone	Hip Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
R. Vaz	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

Cagliari

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
A. Belotti	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 0
G. Borrelli	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	4 / 1
M. Felici	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 1
M. Folorunsho	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 0
Y. Mina	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	2 / 0

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

AS Roma vs Cagliari AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

AS Roma vs Cagliari: Giallorossi Look to Consolidate Home Strength

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

AS Roma Team recent

Cagliari Team recent

Odds

Lineups

AS Roma

Cagliari

Injuries / suspensions

AS Roma Injuries / suspensions

Cagliari Injuries / suspensions

League table