AC Milan vs Parma - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

AC Milan

Parma

Match Events

Alexis Saelemaekers

32'

48'

Mariano Troilo

Rafael Leão

52'

80'

M. Troilo

82'

Mariano Troilo

Preview

AC Milan vs Parma: Rossoneri Aim to Extend Dominance at Home

AC Milan host Parma in Serie A, with the Rossoneri in strong overall form and boasting a formidable home record. Parma arrive looking to stem a recent dip in away form against an opponent that has proven difficult to break down on their own turf.

AC Milan's statistical profile points towards a team that prefers a patient build-up, utilising a high pass accuracy and enjoying significant ball possession, particularly at home. They will likely look to exploit wide areas and maintain control of the midfield to dictate the rhythm of the game. Parma, conversely, have struggled to impose themselves, especially away from home, where their possession drops and their attacking output dwindles. The Rossoneri's compact defensive structure, conceding less than a goal per game overall and at home, should make it very difficult for Parma to create clear-cut chances, potentially leading to a game where Milan control proceedings and look to break down a deep-lying defence.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

AC Milan

Parma

Matches played

15 - 9 - 1

Results

7 - 8 - 10

60%

Win %

28%

1.6

Goals scored

0.7

0.8

Goals conceded

1.2

4.6

Shots on target

2.9

5.2

Shots off target

4.8

3.2

Blocked shots

3.9

51.8

Ball possession

44.8

Pass accuracy

78.7

9.7

Fouls

10.2

2.8

Goalkeeper saves

1.6

Yellow cards

1.8

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• AC Milan have lost only one league game all season and boast a strong home record.
• Parma average less than a goal per game and have struggled for consistent away results.
• AC Milan's defence is significantly tighter than Parma's, particularly at home.

AI Prediction

AC Milan's superior overall form, formidable home record, and statistical dominance over Parma make them clear favourites. Parma's struggles away from home, particularly their lack of goal threat, suggest they will find it tough to breach Milan's defence. The odds also strongly favour the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. Given Milan's defensive solidity and Parma's offensive woes, a low-scoring affair with a home win seems the most probable outcome.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

75%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

27%

O/U

53%

BTTS

40%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

70%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

82%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Serie A H2H 기록입니다.

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
11/8/2025	AC Milan	D 2 - 2 D	Parma HOME	O	Y
1/26/2025	HOME AC Milan	W 3 - 2 L	Parma	O	Y
8/24/2024	AC Milan	L 1 - 2 W	Parma HOME	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

AC Milan

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Como	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
AWAY	Pisa	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Bologna	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	AS Roma	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Lecce	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Como	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Fiorentina	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Genoa	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Cagliari	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Verona	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y

AC Milan have been a consistent force this season, evidenced by their strong overall statistics, including a robust 60% win rate and a mere single loss across 25 games. Their home form is particularly impressive, where they average 1.5 goals scored and concede just 0.8. While their last home outing ended in a draw, it was preceded by a period of dominance, racking up 19.3 shots and enjoying over 61% possession in their recent home fixtures. This suggests a side that controls matches on their own patch.

Parma

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Verona	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Bologna	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Juventus	1 - 4	L	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Atalanta	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
HOME	Genoa	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y
AWAY	Napoli	0 - 0	D	U	N	N
AWAY	Lecce	2 - 1	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Inter	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Sassuolo	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Fiorentina	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y

Parma find themselves in a tougher spot, with 40% of their league games ending in defeat and a below-par goal-scoring record of just 0.7 per game. Their away form offers a small glimmer of hope, having secured four wins, but they have also lost as many. Recent away performances have been particularly concerning, with only 0.3 goals scored across their last three road trips and a significant drop in shot volume. Last week's narrow win at home, despite a dominant possession stat, did little to dispel concerns about their offensive output on the road.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.36

DRAW

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

2.1

1.67

Lineups

AC Milan

(3-5-2)

Mike Maignan

Davide Bartesaghi

Koni De Winter

Fikayo Tomori

Pervis Estupiñán

Adrien Rabiot

Luka Modrić

Ruben Loftus-Cheek

Alexis Saelemaekers

Christian Pulišić

Rafael Leão

Gabriel Strefezza

Mateo Pellegrino

Emanuele Valeri

Christian Ordoñez

Mandela Keita

Adrián Bernabé

Sascha Britschgi

Lautaro Valenti

Mariano Troilo

Enrico Del Prato

Edoardo Corvi

Parma

(3-5-2)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

AC Milan

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
S. Gimenez	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0

Parma

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
M. Frigan	Knee Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Ndiaye	Groin Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
Z. Suzuki	Finger Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
P. Almqvist	Thigh Injury	Missing Fixture	0 / 0
A. Circati	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	1 / 0

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

AC Milan vs Parma AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

AC Milan vs Parma: Rossoneri Aim to Extend Dominance at Home

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

AC Milan Team recent

Parma Team recent

Odds

Lineups

AC Milan

Parma

Injuries / suspensions

AC Milan Injuries / suspensions

Parma Injuries / suspensions

League table