AC Milan vs Lecce - AI Match Preview

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Italy Serie A

AC Milan

Lecce

Match Events

Koni De Winter

21'

N. Fullkrug

76'

84'

Ylber Ramadani

Preview

AC Milan vs Lecce: San Siro Showdown as Rossoneri Aim to Extend Dominance

AC Milan host Lecce in Serie A, with the Rossoneri enjoying a dominant season and looking to solidify their position. Lecce, meanwhile, are on a worrying winless streak and face a stern test at the San Siro, where they've struggled historically.

AC Milan are expected to set the rhythm of the game from the outset, leveraging their superior possession statistics and higher shot volumes. They will likely aim to build attacks through patient buildup, using their accurate passing to probe Lecce's defence. Lecce, on the other hand, will probably adopt a more defensive posture, looking to frustrate Milan and potentially hit them on the counter. However, their recent defensive frailties and poor discipline, evidenced by two red cards in their last home game, suggest they could be vulnerable to Milan's attacking pressure.

Team statistics

Italy Serie A

AC Milan

Lecce

Matches played

12 - 7 - 1

Results

4 - 5 - 11

60%

Win %

20%

1.7

Goals scored

0.7

0.8

Goals conceded

1.4

4.8

Shots on target

2.5

5.6

Shots off target

4.1

3.6

Blocked shots

3.3

50.9

Ball possession

43.5

86.7

Pass accuracy

75.1

9.6

Fouls

12.4

2.9

Goalkeeper saves

1.5

Yellow cards

0.1

Red cards

0.1

League averages

Key points

• AC Milan have lost only one league game all season, showcasing remarkable consistency.
• Lecce have lost their last three Serie A matches without securing a single point.
• AC Milan's home average of 1.6 goals scored per game contrasts sharply with Lecce's away average of 0.7.

AI Prediction

AC Milan's commanding form and home advantage, coupled with Lecce's dire recent results and struggles on the road, make the hosts the clear favourites. The odds reflect this with Milan heavily backed. Lecce's offensive output has been negligible recently, suggesting they will find it extremely difficult to breach Milan's defence, making 'no' for BTTS and 'under' for total goals the most sensible selections.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

85%

HOME

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

53%

BTTS

57%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

80%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

53%

O/U

60%

BTTS

67%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

82%

HOME

BTTS NO

2.5 OVER

1x2

57%

O/U

43%

BTTS

63%

H2H

Serie A

Match date	Team	Score	Team	O/U 2.5	BTTS
9/23/2025	HOME AC Milan	W 3 - 0 L	Lecce	O	N
8/29/2025	AC Milan	W 2 - 0 L	Lecce AWAY	U	N
3/8/2025	AC Milan	W 3 - 2 L	Lecce AWAY	O	Y
9/27/2024	HOME AC Milan	W 3 - 0 L	Lecce	O	N
4/6/2024	HOME AC Milan	W 3 - 0 L	Lecce	O	N
11/11/2023	AC Milan	D 2 - 2 D	Lecce AWAY	O	Y

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

AC Milan

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Como	3 - 1	W	O	Y	N
AWAY	Fiorentina	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Genoa	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Cagliari	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
HOME	Verona	3 - 0	W	O	N	Y
HOME	Sassuolo	2 - 2	D	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Torino	3 - 2	W	O	Y	N
HOME	Lazio	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Inter	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
AWAY	Parma	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N

AC Milan have built a formidable campaign, boasting an impressive overall record with only one defeat across twenty league outings. Their home form is particularly strong, averaging over 1.5 goals scored while conceding less than a goal per game. Despite a recent run of draws in their last three matches, their underlying statistics remain robust, with a high volume of shots and significant possession. The last outing saw them dominate possession with 61% and unleash 32 shots, albeit only converting one, hinting at a need for sharper finishing.

Lecce

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Inter	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	Parma	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
HOME	AS Roma	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
AWAY	Juventus	1 - 1	D	U	Y	N
HOME	Como	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Pisa	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Cremonese	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Torino	2 - 1	W	O	Y	Y
AWAY	Lazio	0 - 2	L	U	N	N
HOME	Verona	0 - 0	D	U	N	Y

Lecce are in a precarious position, having lost three on the bounce and sitting deep in the lower half of the table. Their season statistics paint a picture of a team struggling for wins, with a high loss percentage and difficulty in finding the net, scoring less than a goal per game on average. Their recent form has been particularly concerning, failing to secure a single point in their last three, conceding heavily in the process. Away from home, their struggles are amplified, with a low win rate and a tendency to concede more than they score.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

1.3

DRAW

AWAY

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

1.8

UNDER

BTTS

YES

2.25

1.57

Lineups

AC Milan

(3-5-2)

Mike Maignan

Koni De Winter

Matteo Gabbia

Fikayo Tomori

Pervis Estupiñán

Adrien Rabiot

Ardon Jashari

Samuele Ricci

Alexis Saelemaekers

Rafael Leão

Christian Pulišić

Riccardo Sottil

Nikola Štulić

Santiago Pierotti

Lassana Coulibaly

Ylber Ramadani

Omri Gandelman

Antonino Gallo

Corrie Ndaba

Tiago Gabriel

Jamil Siebert

Wladimiro Falcone

Lecce

(4-3-3)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

AC Milan

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
S. Gimenez	Ankle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
S. Pavlovic	Head Injury	Questionable	- / -

Lecce

Name	Reason	Type	G/A
F. Marchwiński	Jumpers knee	Missing Fixture	- / -
M. Berisha	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
F. Camarda	Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
K. Gaspar	Red Card	Missing Fixture	- / -
B. Pierret	Muscle Injury	Missing Fixture	- / -
D. Veiga	Yellow Cards	Missing Fixture	- / -

League table

Italy Serie A

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Inter	16	12	0	4	35	14	21	36	WWWWL
2	AC Milan	16	10	5	1	27	13	14	35	WDWWW
3	Napoli	16	11	1	4	24	13	11	34	WLWWW
4	AS Roma	17	11	0	6	20	11	9	33	WLWLL
5	Juventus	17	9	5	3	23	15	8	32	WWWLW
6	Como	16	7	6	3	22	12	10	27	WLLWW
7	Bologna	16	7	5	4	24	14	10	26	DLDLW
8	Lazio	17	6	6	5	18	12	6	24	DDWDL
9	Sassuolo	17	6	4	7	22	21	1	22	DLDWL
10	Atalanta	17	5	7	5	20	19	1	22	LWWLW
11	Udinese	17	6	4	7	18	28	-10	22	DLWLW
12	Cremonese	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2	21	LDLWW
13	Torino	17	5	5	7	17	28	-11	20	LWWLL
14	Cagliari	17	4	6	7	19	24	-5	18	WDLWL
15	Parma	16	4	5	7	11	18	-7	17	WLWLW
16	Lecce	16	4	4	8	11	22	-11	16	LWLWL
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	17	27	-10	14	LLLWW
18	Verona	16	2	6	8	13	25	-12	12	LWWLL
19	Pisa	17	1	8	8	12	24	-12	11	LDLLL
20	Fiorentina	17	1	6	10	17	28	-11	9	LWLLL

AC Milan vs Lecce AI Match Preview, Prediction, Team Stats Comparison, League table

Match Events

Preview

AC Milan vs Lecce: San Siro Showdown as Rossoneri Aim to Extend Dominance

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

AC Milan Team recent

Lecce Team recent

Odds

Lineups

AC Milan

Lecce

Injuries / suspensions

AC Milan Injuries / suspensions

Lecce Injuries / suspensions

League table