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Almeria vs Valladolid: Hosts Aim to Seal Season Strong at Home
Almeria host Valladolid in the final matchday of the Segunda División season, with the home side chasing a strong finish. Almeria have been formidable at home all season, while Valladolid's away form has been particularly brittle, suggesting a tough outing for the visitors.
Almeria's home strength is built on controlling possession and asserting their attacking intent, often through patient build-up play. They typically dominate the ball and will look to utilize their midfield to create overloads. Valladolid, on the other hand, have struggled to impose themselves away from home, often finding themselves drawn into defensive battles. Their recent away form suggests they might employ a deeper block to try and frustrate Almeria, but their capacity to transition effectively and threaten Almeria's solid home defence looks limited, especially given their recent scoring struggles.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Almeria have won 70% of their home games this season.
- • Valladolid have lost 55% of their away league matches.
- • Almeria averages 2.6 goals per game at home.
AI Prediction
Almeria's formidable home record, combined with Valladolid's abysmal away form, clearly points towards a home victory. The odds favour Almeria significantly, aligning with the statistical disparity. While Almeria's recent overall form has been shaky, their home record in that period remains robust, suggesting they'll bounce back. Valladolid's struggles to score away, especially in their last three away games, indicate they'll likely fail to find the net against a strong Almeria side at home. The attacking numbers for Almeria at home suggest a decent goal haul.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85%
HOMEBTTS NO2.5 OVER1x260%O/U70%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Almeria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Las Palmas | 1 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Burgos | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Mirandes | 4 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Granada CF | 4 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Malaga | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Racing Santander | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Leganes | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Castellón | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Real Sociedad II | 5 - 1 |
Almeria have enjoyed a stellar campaign, particularly at home where they've secured victory in a commanding 70% of their fixtures. Their overall season stats paint a picture of an attacking unit that averages two goals per game, backed by a solid possession game. While their most recent form across three games has dipped, averaging less than a goal scored and conceding nearly two, their home performances in that recent spell have been far more positive, including two wins in their last three at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, where they've been scoring freely. The last outing was a rare blip, a defeat on the road, but they will be keen to sign off in front of their own fans with a strong display.
Valladolid Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Racing Santander | 1 - 4 | |||||
HOME | Zaragoza | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Las Palmas | 1 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Real Sociedad II | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | FC Andorra | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Eibar | 0 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Cadiz | 3 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Burgos | 0 - 1 |
Valladolid's season has been a tale of inconsistency, particularly on the road where they've managed just four wins in twenty games. Their overall scoring record is modest, averaging just over a goal per game, and defensively they concede nearly two goals away from home. Recent form has been concerning, with three consecutive defeats, and their last outing was particularly poor, a heavy loss where they failed to score and conceded twice, while their possession numbers also saw a significant spike. Their away record in the last three matches shows a worrying trend of conceding heavily, nearly 2.5 goals per game, while only managing to find the net less than once.
Odds
Lineups
Almeria
(4-2-3-1)
Valladolid
(4-4-2)
