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Almeria vs Las Palmas: Can Hosts Continue Dominant Home Run in Segunda División?
Almeria hosts Las Palmas in a crucial Segunda División clash. The home side boasts an exceptional home record and recent scoring prowess, while Las Palmas have shown resilience on the road but have struggled defensively in their latest outings. This fixture pits Almeria's attacking might against Las Palmas's ability to grind out results, potentially leading to a goal-laden contest.
This match sets up as a classic home-team advantage scenario. Almeria's potent attack, particularly in recent form, will likely aim to set a high tempo and exploit spaces. Their average of 16.9 shots at home suggests sustained pressure. Las Palmas, despite their possession statistics, may be forced into a more reactive stance, seeking to absorb pressure and counter. Their recent defensive struggles, conceding 5 goals in their last away game, point towards a potential weakness that Almeria's current attacking form could exploit through quick transitions and a strong presence in the final third.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Almeria have won 100% of their last 3 home games, scoring 3 goals per match.
- • Las Palmas have conceded an average of 2.7 goals in their last 3 away matches.
- • Almeria averages 2.6 goals per game at home over the season.
AI Prediction
Almeria's exceptional home record and recent surge in scoring form, averaging 3 goals in their last three home games, make them strong favorites. Las Palmas's recent defensive fragility away from home, evidenced by conceding 2.7 goals in their last three away fixtures, further bolsters Almeria's prospects. The odds also favor the home side, aligning with the statistical picture. Expecting both teams to find the net given Almeria's attacking intent and Las Palmas's need to respond.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon75% HOMEBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x247%O/U60%BTTS47%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)by google68% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x237%O/U73%BTTS57%- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x250%O/U70%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ru)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS60%
- gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google85% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x240%O/U63%BTTS57%
llama-3.1-8b-instruct (it)by meta-llama80% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U77%BTTS67%- llama-3.3-70b-instruct (pt)by meta-llama70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS63%
gpt-oss-120b:free (tr)by openai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U60%BTTS53%
grok-4.1-fast (ja)by x-ai82% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U63%BTTS63%- grok-4.1-fast (ko)by x-ai78% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x243%O/U67%BTTS70%
H2H
Team recent
Almeria Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Burgos | 0 - 0 | |||||
HOME | Mirandes | 4 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Granada CF | 4 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Malaga | 3 - 2 | |||||
AWAY | Racing Santander | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Leganes | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Castellón | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Real Sociedad II | 5 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Huesca | 3 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Zaragoza | 0 - 2 |
Almeria have been formidable at home this season, securing victory in a staggering 73.7% of their league fixtures. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.6 goals per game on their own turf. This dominance has been amplified in their last three home matches, where they've hit the net three times on average, maintaining a perfect win record. While their overall possession is solid, their home form sees them elevate that to nearly 58%, indicating a controlled, attacking approach.
Las Palmas Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | FC Andorra | 1 - 5 | |||||
HOME | Valladolid | 2 - 1 | |||||
AWAY | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Leganes | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Malaga | 0 - 2 | |||||
HOME | Huesca | 2 - 1 | |||||
HOME | Granada CF | 2 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Eibar | 1 - 3 | |||||
HOME | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 0 | |||||
AWAY | Albacete | 1 - 2 |
Las Palmas present a mixed bag, particularly away from home where they've won just under a third of their games and hold a near-even record of wins, draws, and losses. Despite averaging a respectable 1.1 goals on the road over the season, their recent form suggests defensive frailty, conceding 2.7 goals across their last three away fixtures. Their possession stats are high, but their last outing saw a significant drop in control and a heavy defeat, indicating potential vulnerability.
Odds
Lineup information is currently unavailable. It will be updated 1 hour before kickoff.