Concepción vs D. La Serena - AI Match Preview

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Chile Primera División

Concepción

D. La Serena

Match Events

I. S. Mesias Gonzalez

11'

N. Rodriguez

22'

24'

J. Vargas

31'

J. Vargas

41'

N. Stefanelli

I. S. Mesias Gonzalez

46'

59'

F. Lanzillotta

60'

B. Gutierrez

J. Larrivey

67'

D. Carrasco

90'

F. Dinamarca

Preview

Concepción vs D. La Serena: Hosts Seek Respite from Poor Home Form

Concepción hosts D. La Serena in a Primera División clash. The home side has endured a torrid time at home this season, struggling for wins and goals, while D. La Serena presents a mixed bag with a potent home attack but a leaky defence on the road.

This match presents a potential tactical battleground where Concepción will look to leverage their slightly higher average possession and corner count to build pressure. However, their chronic inability to convert chances, especially at home, will be severely tested by a D. La Serena side that, despite defensive frailties on the road, has shown periods of attacking intent. The visiting team's recent trend of conceding multiple goals away from home, coupled with Concepción's offensive struggles, points towards a game where the hosts might find it difficult to break down the opposition, potentially relying on set-pieces or transitional moments if they can muster them.

Team statistics

Chile Primera División

Concepción

D. La Serena

Matches played

1 - 1 - 7

Results

3 - 3 - 3

11.1%

Win %

33.3%

0.4

Goals scored

1.1

1.6

Goals conceded

1.2

2.8

Shots on target

3.9

6.3

Shots off target

2.8

Blocked shots

2.7

50.3

Ball possession

48.6

80.4

Pass accuracy

75.2

10.1

Fouls

12.7

3.3

Goalkeeper saves

2.1

Yellow cards

3.1

0.1

Red cards

0.2

League averages

Key points

• Concepción have lost 66.7% of their home games this season, scoring just 0.3 goals per game.
• D. La Serena have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per away game this season.
• Concepción's last home match saw them lose with only 1 goal scored from 8 shots and 33% possession.

AI Prediction

Concepción's dire home form and scoring drought are significant concerns, but D. La Serena's away defence has been porous. Given both teams' recent history of conceding and the potential for D. La Serena to find the net, a high-scoring draw appears to be the most logical outcome. Concepción's last home game, despite the loss, showed some attacking intent and a higher shot count, suggesting they might be able to trouble the visitors, while D. La Serena's own recent scoring form and defensive issues on the road make them susceptible.

AI

Confidence

Pick

Recent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)

by amazon

70%

X DRAW

BTTS YES

2.5 OVER

1x2

43%

O/U

47%

BTTS

50%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (ar)

by google

65%

AWAY

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

47%

O/U

47%

BTTS

70%
gemini-2.0-flash-lite-001 (es)

by google

65%

X DRAW

BTTS NO

2.5 UNDER

1x2

40%

O/U

63%

BTTS

70%

H2H

Primera División H2H 기록입니다.

No head-to-head data available.

Includes records from 2023 onwards.

Team recent

Concepción

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
AWAY	Union La Calera	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
HOME	Colo Colo	0 - 1	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	A. Italiano	0 - 3	L	O	N	N
HOME	Nublense	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	Coquimbo Unido	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Cobresal	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
AWAY	Universidad de Concepcion	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N
AWAY	U. Catolica	0 - 2	L	U	N	Y
AWAY	O'Higgins	1 - 2	L	O	Y	N

Concepción's season has been largely defined by their struggles at home. Across nine games, they've managed just one win, with a concerning seven losses. Their offensive output is particularly dismal at their own ground, averaging a mere 0.3 goals per game. While they've shown flashes of competence in possession, averaging over 50% ball retention, this hasn't translated into results. Recent form offers little encouragement, with three consecutive losses across all competitions and a particularly dire last home outing where they conjured only one goal from eight shots and lost possession significantly.

D. La Serena

H/A	VS	Score	Results	O/U 2.5	BTTS	Cor 9.5
HOME	Everton de Vina	1 - 0	W	U	N	Y
AWAY	Universidad de Chile	0 - 4	L	O	N	Y
AWAY	Nublense	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N
HOME	Union La Calera	3 - 0	W	O	N	N
AWAY	Cobresal	1 - 0	W	U	N	N
HOME	Universidad de Concepcion	1 - 1	D	U	Y	Y
HOME	Coquimbo Unido	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
AWAY	O'Higgins	0 - 1	L	U	N	N
HOME	U. Catolica	2 - 2	D	O	Y	N

Deportes La Serena have experienced a more balanced, albeit inconsistent, season, sitting on three wins, three draws, and three losses overall. Their home form is solid, where they average 1.4 goals per game, but their away record tells a different story, with two losses in four away fixtures and an average of 1.8 goals conceded. Their recent form is also a mixed bag; they secured a win in their last outing, scoring one goal and dominating possession, but this followed two games where they conceded two goals each.

Over

Under

Yes

Odds

1x2

HOME

2.7

DRAW

3.2

AWAY

2.55

2.5 OVER/UNDER

OVER

2.05

UNDER

1.75

BTTS

YES

1.8

1.91

Lineups

Concepción

(4-4-2)

N. Araya

D. Carrasco

F. Grillo

C. Suarez

N. Rodriguez

B. Escobar

M. Davila Carvajal

Y. Rodriguez

A. Jara

J. Larrivey

I. S. Mesias Gonzalez

N. Stefanelli

J. Vargas

S. Diaz

F. Chamorro

J. Gutierrez

F. Mac Allister

Y. Salazar

R. Delgado

A. Zanini

B. Gutierrez

F. Lanzillotta

D. La Serena

(4-1-4-1)

Average Player Rating

Injuries / suspensions

No injury/suspension information available.

League table

Chile Primera División

#	Team	Played	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Primera División
1	Colo Colo	18	15	0	3	38	17	21	45	WWWWW
2	Universidad de Chile	18	9	6	3	23	12	11	33	WWWWD
3	U. Catolica	18	9	3	6	40	26	14	30	WLDWW
4	Palestino	18	8	3	7	26	26	0	27	LWLWD
5	Everton de Vina	18	7	5	6	27	21	6	26	WLDLW
6	Nublense	17	6	8	3	22	21	1	26	DWDWD
7	Coquimbo Unido	17	7	4	6	24	21	3	25	DLDWD
8	Deportes Limache	17	7	3	7	34	27	7	24	WLLLL
9	Huachipato	18	7	3	8	27	31	-4	24	LLDDL
10	Concepción	18	7	2	9	20	23	-3	23	WWWWL
11	O'Higgins	18	7	2	9	22	28	-6	23	LWLLD
12	A. Italiano	18	5	5	8	22	25	-3	20	DWLDD
13	D. La Serena	18	4	8	6	26	31	-5	20	DLDDL
14	Universidad de Concepcion	17	5	4	8	13	28	-15	19	LLLDD
15	Cobresal	18	5	2	11	26	34	-8	17	LWDLL
16	Union La Calera	18	3	4	11	16	35	-19	13	LLDDD

Concepción vs D. La Serena - H2H AI Preview & Stats

Match Events

Preview

Concepción vs D. La Serena: Hosts Seek Respite from Poor Home Form

Team statistics

Team Stats Comparison

Key points

AI Prediction

H2H

Team recent

Concepción Team recent

D. La Serena Team recent

Odds

Lineups

Concepción

D. La Serena

Injuries / suspensions

League table