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Santa Fe vs Once Caldas: Hosts Seek to Reassert Home Dominance in Clausura
Santa Fe host Once Caldas in a Clausura fixture where the home side has been particularly strong, contrasting with the visitors' more draw-heavy away record. This encounter pits Santa Fe's recent attacking surge at home against Once Caldas's ability to grind out results on the road.
This match is likely to see Santa Fe attempting to leverage their attacking prowess and higher average possession at home, aiming to control the game's rhythm. They will likely look to build attacks through wider areas, evidenced by their higher corner count. Once Caldas, on the other hand, may adopt a more compact defensive shape when away, seeking to frustrate Santa Fe and exploit transitional opportunities, though their recent away draws suggest a patient, albeit less dominant, approach. The home side's recent surge in shots on goal and a high number of blocked shots in their last outing suggests an aggressive intent that could break down a stubborn defence.
Team statistics
Team Stats Comparison
Key points
- • Santa Fe averages 2 goals per game at home this season, a significant uplift from their away form.
- • Once Caldas have drawn 70% of their away league matches this season, highlighting their resilience but lack of decisive wins.
- • Santa Fe's recent home form shows an average of 2.7 goals scored in their last three home games.
AI Prediction
Santa Fe's strong home record, combined with their recent attacking form and higher shot volumes, makes them the favourite. Once Caldas's resilience away from home, particularly their tendency to draw, suggests they can score, but Santa Fe’s overall quality and home advantage should see them secure the win. The odds also slightly favour the hosts, aligning with the statistical picture.
- AIConfidencePickRecent Win% (20)
nova-lite-v1 (fr)by amazon72% AWAYBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U53%BTTS53%
deepseek-v4-pro (ja)by deepseek75%X DRAWBTTS NO2.5 UNDER1x233%O/U50%BTTS63%
gemini-2.5-flash-lite (en)by google70% HOMEBTTS YES2.5 OVER1x247%O/U47%BTTS60%
H2H
Team recent
Santa Fe Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWAY | Águilas Doradas | 1 - 2 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Junior | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | America de Cali | 4 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional de Bogota | 3 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Pasto | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Cucuta | 5 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Millonarios | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 2 | - |
Santa Fe have built a solid foundation this season, particularly at home where they average two goals per game. Their overall win percentage stands at a respectable 33.3%, but at their own ground, this climbs to 45.5%. Recent form has seen them score an impressive 2.7 goals per home game over their last three, indicating a potent attacking unit that is finding its stride. While they did drop points in their most recent home outing, a draw against a side that conceded just once, their overall home performance suggests they are a formidable force.
Once Caldas Team recent
| Match date | H/A | VS | Score | Results | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | Cor 9.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOME | Cucuta | 5 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Junior | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Junior | 0 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 0 | - | ||||
AWAY | Águilas Doradas | 2 - 2 | - | ||||
HOME | Internacional de Bogota | 2 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 0 | - | ||||
HOME | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
AWAY | Llaneros | 1 - 1 | - | ||||
HOME | Millonarios | 1 - 4 | - |
Once Caldas present a different challenge, characterised by a high draw rate, especially away from home where over half their games end in a stalemate. They score a modest 1.3 goals per away game overall, but their recent form on the road has seen them secure three consecutive draws, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match. Their last outing was a dominant 5-1 victory, showcasing their attacking potential, but this was a home game where they tend to perform significantly better. Their away form, while resilient, often lacks the cutting edge to secure victories.
Odds
Lineups
Santa Fe
(4-2-3-1)
Once Caldas
(4-1-4-1)